Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Górnik Zabrze II to win @ 2.80 – our chance 44% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGórnik Zabrze II to win ✓44% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Górnik Zabrze II vs Górnik Polkowice: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Górnik Zabrze II welcome Górnik Polkowice to Stadion MOSiR for a III Liga Group 3 fixture on Friday 22 May (11:00 WAT).
Current form
Górnik Zabrze II, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Miedź Legnica II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Górnik Polkowice, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Kluczbork, at home. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Momentum favours Górnik Polkowice, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Górnik Zabrze II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Górnik Zabrze II 2.0 xG, Górnik Polkowice 1.4 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Górnik Zabrze II 44%, draw 21%, Górnik Polkowice 36%.
Price worth noting: Górnik Zabrze II to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Górnik Zabrze II 2–1 Górnik Polkowice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Górnik Zabrze II44%fair 2.29 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.80
Górnik Polkowice36%fair 2.81 · @2.05
3.42Expected goals
1.98Górnik Zabrze II xG
1.44Górnik Polkowice xG
56%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Górnik Zabrze II 2.0 – 1.4 Górnik Polkowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Górnik Zabrze II
Górnik Polkowice
Attack vs III Liga Group 3 average
+24%
+19%
Goals conceded vs average
-12%
+16%
Our expected goals here
2.46
1.32
Our own ratings from every III Liga Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Górnik Zabrze II to win✓
44%
2.29
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
Górnik Zabrze II (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Górnik Polkowice +1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
Górnik Zabrze II to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Górnik Zabrze II ahead at half-time✓
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Górnik Zabrze II / FT Górnik Zabrze II✓
31%
3.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Górnik Zabrze II – last 6
LLWWWD
13 May
vs Miedź Legnica II
0–1
L
1 May
vs Lechia Zielona Góra
0–2
L
18 Apr
@ Zagłębie Lubin II
5–0
W
10 Apr
vs Warta Gorzów
3–1
W
2 Apr
@ Sparta Katowice
2–1
W
28 Mar
vs Słowianin
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Górnik Polkowice – last 6
WWWDWD
17 May
vs Kluczbork
3–1
W
13 May
@ Pawłowice Śląskie
7–0
W
1 May
vs Ślęza Wrocław
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs Goczałkowice Zdrój
0–0
D
1 Apr
@ Polonia Nysa
2–1
W
28 Mar
vs Miedź Legnica II
3–3
D
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Górnik Zabrze II and Górnik Polkowice.
What is the prediction for Górnik Zabrze II vs Górnik Polkowice?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Górnik Zabrze II vs Górnik Polkowice?
On our numbers Górnik Zabrze II have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Górnik Polkowice 36%.
How many goals will there be in Górnik Zabrze II vs Górnik Polkowice?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Górnik Zabrze II vs Górnik Polkowice?
Our predicted score is Górnik Zabrze II 2–1 Górnik Polkowice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Górnik Zabrze II vs Górnik Polkowice?
Górnik Zabrze II vs Górnik Polkowice (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion MOSiR.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
SKRA Częstochowa4