Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 11.82
Górnik Polkowice vs Lechia Zielona Góra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 30 May the III Liga Group 3 brings Górnik Polkowice against Lechia Zielona Góra at Stadion Górnik. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Górnik Polkowice, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Górnik Zabrze II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Lechia Zielona Góra, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Polonia Nysa, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Górnik Polkowice 1.5 xG, Lechia Zielona Góra 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Górnik Polkowice 38%, draw 24%, Lechia Zielona Góra 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Górnik Polkowice 1–2 Lechia Zielona Góra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Górnik Polkowice38%fair 2.64 · @2.35
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.50
Lechia Zielona Góra39%fair 2.60 · @2.45
2.98Expected goals
1.48Górnik Polkowice xG
1.50Lechia Zielona Góra xG
51%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Górnik Polkowice 1.5 – 1.5 Lechia Zielona Góra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Górnik Polkowice
Lechia Zielona Góra
Attack vs III Liga Group 3 average
+19%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
-24%
Our expected goals here
1.54
1.57
Our own ratings from every III Liga Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lechia Zielona Góra to win✓
39%
2.60
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Lechia Zielona Góra (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Górnik Polkowice +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Lechia Zielona Góra to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lechia Zielona Góra / FT Lechia Zielona Góra✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
11.82
–
Recent results
Górnik Polkowice – last 6
LWWWDW
22 May
@ Górnik Zabrze II
0–6
L
17 May
vs Kluczbork
3–1
W
13 May
@ Pawłowice Śląskie
7–0
W
1 May
vs Ślęza Wrocław
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs Goczałkowice Zdrój
0–0
D
1 Apr
@ Polonia Nysa
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lechia Zielona Góra – last 5
WWWDL
13 May
@ Polonia Nysa
1–0
W
1 May
@ Górnik Zabrze II
2–0
W
1 Apr
vs Goczałkowice Zdrój
5–0
W
29 Mar
@ Ślęza Wrocław
0–0
D
20 Mar
@ SKRA Częstochowa
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Górnik Polkowice and Lechia Zielona Góra.
What is the prediction for Górnik Polkowice vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
On our numbers Górnik Polkowice have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lechia Zielona Góra 39%.
How many goals will there be in Górnik Polkowice vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Górnik Polkowice vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
Our predicted score is Górnik Polkowice 1–2 Lechia Zielona Góra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Górnik Polkowice vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
Górnik Polkowice vs Lechia Zielona Góra (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Górnik.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.