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Górnik Polkowice v Lechia Zielona Góra: numbers & prediction

III Liga Group 3 · Poland · Stadion Górnik
Górnik Polkowice 38%Draw 24%Lechia Zielona Góra 39% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.50
56%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultLechia Zielona Góra to win ✓39% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 11.82

Górnik Polkowice vs Lechia Zielona Góra: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 30 May the III Liga Group 3 brings Górnik Polkowice against Lechia Zielona Góra at Stadion Górnik. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Górnik Polkowice, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Górnik Zabrze II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Lechia Zielona Góra, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Polonia Nysa, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Górnik Polkowice 1.5 xG, Lechia Zielona Góra 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Górnik Polkowice 38%, draw 24%, Lechia Zielona Góra 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Górnik Polkowice 1–2 Lechia Zielona Góra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Górnik Polkowice38%fair 2.64 · @2.35
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.50
Lechia Zielona Góra39%fair 2.60 · @2.45
2.98Expected goals
1.48Górnik Polkowice xG
1.50Lechia Zielona Góra xG
51%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%

From our goals model: Górnik Polkowice 1.5 – 1.5 Lechia Zielona Góra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Górnik PolkowiceLechia Zielona Góra
Attack vs III Liga Group 3 average+19%+8%
Goals conceded vs average+16%-24%
Our expected goals here1.541.57

Our own ratings from every III Liga Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLechia Zielona Góra to win ✓39%2.602.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.98–
Draw no betLechia Zielona Góra (draw no bet) ✓50%1.98–
Asian handicapGórnik Polkowice +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.801.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreLechia Zielona Góra to score first48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lechia Zielona Góra / FT Lechia Zielona Góra ✗22%4.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%11.82–

Recent results

Górnik Polkowice – last 6

LWWWDW
22 May@ Górnik Zabrze II0–6L
17 Mayvs Kluczbork3–1W
13 May@ Pawłowice Śląskie7–0W
1 Mayvs Ślęza Wrocław2–1W
17 Aprvs Goczałkowice Zdrój0–0D
1 Apr@ Polonia Nysa2–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Lechia Zielona Góra – last 5

WWWDL
13 May@ Polonia Nysa1–0W
1 May@ Górnik Zabrze II2–0W
1 Aprvs Goczałkowice Zdrój5–0W
29 Mar@ Ślęza Wrocław0–0D
20 Mar@ SKRA Częstochowa1–2L
1.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Górnik Polkowice and Lechia Zielona Góra.

Górnik Polkowice vs Lechia Zielona Góra head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zaglebie Sosnowiec161213+1637
2Sparta Katowice161132+2136
3Odra Bytom Odrzański16943+631
4Zagłębie Lubin II16763+727
5ROW Rybnik16826+826
6Miedź Legnica II16727+823
7Karkonosze Jelenia Góra16655+523
8Kluczbork16727-323
9Górnik Polkowice16646+122
10Barycz Sułów15636021
11Goczałkowice Zdrój16637-221
12Stal Brzeg16547+519
13Stilon Gorzów16466-318
14Carina Gubin16448-1316
15Ślęza Wrocław164210-1214
16Warta Gorzów16358-1914
17Rakow II16349-1113
18Polonia Nysa15348-1413

More III Liga Group 3 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Górnik Polkowice vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

On our numbers Górnik Polkowice have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lechia Zielona Góra 39%.

How many goals will there be in Górnik Polkowice vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Górnik Polkowice vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

Our predicted score is Górnik Polkowice 1–2 Lechia Zielona Góra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Górnik Polkowice vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

Górnik Polkowice vs Lechia Zielona Góra (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Górnik.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.