Value bet: Chełmianka Chełm to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultChełmianka Chełm to win39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–34% · fair 26.54
Avia Świdnik vs Chełmianka Chełm: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 4 April the III Liga Group 4 brings Avia Świdnik against Chełmianka Chełm at Stadion Świdnik. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Avia Świdnik 1.2 xG, Chełmianka Chełm 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Avia Świdnik 36%, draw 25%, Chełmianka Chełm 39%.
Price worth noting: Chełmianka Chełm to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avia Świdnik 1–2 Chełmianka Chełm. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Avia Świdnik36%fair 2.75 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.60
Chełmianka Chełm39%fair 2.58 · @3.00
2.76Expected goals
1.23Avia Świdnik xG
1.53Chełmianka Chełm xG
50%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Avia Świdnik 1.2 – 1.5 Chełmianka Chełm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chełmianka Chełm to win
39%
2.58
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Chełmianka Chełm (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Avia Świdnik +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.80
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Chełmianka Chełm to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chełmianka Chełm / FT Chełmianka Chełm
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3
4%
26.54
–
Recent results
Avia Świdnik – last 2
WD
8 Mar
@ Sparta KW
6–0
W
5 Mar
vs Raków Częstochowa
1–1
D
3.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chełmianka Chełm – last 2
WW
14 Mar
vs Stal Kraśnik
4–1
W
28 Feb
vs Wisła Kraków II
2–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avia Świdnik and Chełmianka Chełm.
What is the prediction for Avia Świdnik vs Chełmianka Chełm?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Avia Świdnik vs Chełmianka Chełm?
On our numbers Avia Świdnik have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chełmianka Chełm 39%.
How many goals will there be in Avia Świdnik vs Chełmianka Chełm?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avia Świdnik vs Chełmianka Chełm?
Our predicted score is Avia Świdnik 1–2 Chełmianka Chełm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Avia Świdnik vs Chełmianka Chełm?
Avia Świdnik vs Chełmianka Chełm (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Świdnik.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cracovia Kraków II1
Świdniczanka Świdnik1