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Star Starachowice v Podlasie Biała Podlaska: numbers & prediction

III Liga Group 4 · Poland · Stadion Miejski
Star Starachowice 56%Draw 21%Podlasie Biała Podlaska 23% Expected goals 1.96 – 1.12
59%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultStar Starachowice to win ✗56% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11

Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 23 May: Star Starachowice v Podlasie Biała Podlaska in the III Liga Group 4, played at Stadion Miejski. In the table, Star Starachowice are 9th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Podlasie Biała Podlaska are 16th (in the drop zone) with 13.

Current form

Star Starachowice, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Avia Świdnik, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Podlasie Biała Podlaska, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Sparta KW, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Podlasie Biała Podlaska, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Star Starachowice.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Star Starachowice 2.0 xG, Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Star Starachowice 56%, draw 21%, Podlasie Biała Podlaska 23%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Star Starachowice 2–1 Podlasie Biała Podlaska. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Star Starachowice56%fair 1.77 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.70
Podlasie Biała Podlaska23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
3.08Expected goals
1.96Star Starachowice xG
1.12Podlasie Biała Podlaska xG
51%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Star Starachowice 2.0 – 1.1 Podlasie Biała Podlaska expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStar Starachowice to win ✗56%1.771.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.96–
Draw no betStar Starachowice (draw no bet)71%1.41–
Asian handicapPodlasie Biała Podlaska +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.691.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreStar Starachowice to score first ✗61%1.65–
Half-time resultStar Starachowice ahead at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Star Starachowice / FT Star Starachowice ✗36%2.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

Star Starachowice – last 6

DLWWDL
13 Mayvs Avia Świdnik1–1D
9 May@ Chełmianka Chełm2–5L
1 Mayvs Naprzód2–1W
24 Apr@ Sokół Kolb.2–1W
10 Apr@ Wisłoka Dębica0–0D
2 Apr@ Korona Kielce II2–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Podlasie Biała Podlaska – last 5

WWWLD
13 May@ Sparta KW5–0W
8 Mayvs Świdniczanka Świdnik3–0W
3 May@ Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów3–1W
3 Apr@ KSZO 19291–2L
1 Mar@ Naprzód4–4D
3.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Star Starachowice and Podlasie Biała Podlaska.

Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 4 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chełmianka Chełm161240+2040
2KSZO 192916853+1329
3Hetman Zamosc16853+829
4Wisłoka Dębica16925+429
5Naprzód16844+528
6Czarni Połaniec16844+328
7Wisła Kraków II16745+125
8Wiślanie Jaśkowice16736+624
9Star Starachowice16655+323
10Siarka Tarnobrzeg16637021
11KS Wieczysta Krakow II16547-319
12Jarosław16538+218
13Busko-Zdroj16529-1417
14Sokół Kolb.16376-416
15Korona Kielce II16439-615
16Podlasie Biała Podlaska16349-1513
17Moravia Morawica163310-1012
18Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów163310-1312

More III Liga Group 4 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?

On our numbers Star Starachowice have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Podlasie Biała Podlaska 23%.

How many goals will there be in Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?

Our predicted score is Star Starachowice 2–1 Podlasie Biała Podlaska, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?

Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.