Vilaverdense 39%Draw 28%Chaves II 33%Expected goals 1.07 – 1.09
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Chaves II to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVilaverdense to win ✗39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.10
Vilaverdense vs Chaves II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chaves II travel to face Vilaverdense on Sunday 22 February in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A, with Estadio Cruz do Reguengo the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vilaverdense 1.1 xG, Chaves II 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vilaverdense 39%, draw 28%, Chaves II 33%.
Price worth noting: Chaves II to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vilaverdense 1–1 Chaves II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vilaverdense39%fair 2.59 · @2.15
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @3.00
Chaves II33%fair 3.02 · @3.20
2.16Expected goals
1.07Vilaverdense xG
1.09Chaves II xG
45%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Vilaverdense 1.1 – 1.1 Chaves II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vilaverdense to win✗
39%
2.59
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Vilaverdense (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Vilaverdense +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Chaves II to score first✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
20%
5.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.10
–
Recent results
Vilaverdense – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Os Limianos
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Chaves II – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Camacha
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vilaverdense and Chaves II.
What is the prediction for Vilaverdense vs Chaves II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Vilaverdense vs Chaves II?
On our numbers Vilaverdense have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Chaves II 33%.
How many goals will there be in Vilaverdense vs Chaves II?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vilaverdense vs Chaves II?
Our predicted score is Vilaverdense 1–1 Chaves II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Vilaverdense vs Chaves II?
Vilaverdense vs Chaves II (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cruz do Reguengo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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