Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultPeniche to win ✗44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.88
Samora Correir vs Peniche: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 29 March: Samora Correir v Peniche in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C, played at Complexo Desportivo Da Murteira.
Current form
Samora Correir, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Os Marialvas, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Peniche, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Eléctrico, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Samora Correir, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.0 for Peniche.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Samora Correir 1.0 xG, Peniche 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Samora Correir 33%, draw 23%, Peniche 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Samora Correir 1–1 Peniche. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Samora Correir33%fair 3.02 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Peniche44%fair 2.27 · @2.20
2.29Expected goals
1.04Samora Correir xG
1.26Peniche xG
44%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Samora Correir 1.0 – 1.3 Peniche expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Peniche to win✗
44%
2.27
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Peniche (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Samora Correir +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Peniche to score first
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Peniche / FT Peniche✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.88
–
Recent results
Samora Correir – last 5
LLWDW
15 Mar
vs Os Marialvas
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Naval 1893
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Mortágua
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Fátima
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Lajense
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Peniche – last 3
LLL
22 Mar
@ Eléctrico
2–4
L
15 Mar
vs Vitória de Sernache
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Mortágua
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Samora Correir and Peniche.
What is the prediction for Samora Correir vs Peniche?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Samora Correir vs Peniche?
On our numbers Samora Correir have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Peniche 44%.
How many goals will there be in Samora Correir vs Peniche?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samora Correir vs Peniche?
Our predicted score is Samora Correir 1–1 Peniche, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Samora Correir vs Peniche?
Samora Correir vs Peniche (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Complexo Desportivo Da Murteira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
