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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Os Marialvas v Fátima: numbers & prediction

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C · Portugal · Estádio Municipal de Cantanhede

Os Marialvas

WDDW
2–0
FT

Fátima

LWDD
Os Marialvas 55%Draw 26%Fátima 19% Expected goals 1.56 – 0.78
60%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultOs Marialvas to win ✓55% · @1.85
Double chanceOs Marialvas or draw ✓81% · fair 1.23
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.68

Os Marialvas vs Fátima: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Os Marialvas v Fátima in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C, played at Estádio Municipal de Cantanhede. In the table, Os Marialvas are 1st, leading the league, on 19 points after 8 matches; Fátima are 7th (upper half) with 11.

Current form

Os Marialvas, last 4: WDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Samora Correir, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Fátima, last 4: LWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Naval 1893, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Os Marialvas, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Fátima.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Os Marialvas 1.6 xG, Fátima 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Os Marialvas 55%, draw 26%, Fátima 19%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Os Marialvas 1–0 Fátima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Os Marialvas55%fair 1.81 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.10
Fátima19%fair 5.39 · @3.90
2.34Expected goals
1.56Os Marialvas xG
0.78Fátima xG
45%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–112%
2–012%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Os Marialvas 1.6 – 0.8 Fátima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOs Marialvas to win ✓55%1.811.85
Double chanceOs Marialvas or draw ✓81%1.23–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.82–
Draw no betOs Marialvas (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapFátima +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.651.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreOs Marialvas to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Os Marialvas / FT Os Marialvas ✗34%2.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.68–

Recent results

Os Marialvas – last 4

WDDW
15 Mar@ Samora Correir1–0W
11 Marvs Marinhense1–1D
1 Mar@ Oliveira Hospital1–1D
14 Feb@ Lusitânia5–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Fátima – last 4

LWDD
15 Marvs Naval 18930–1L
8 Mar@ Mortágua1–0W
1 Marvs Lajense1–1D
22 Febvs Samora Correir2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Os Marialvas and Fátima.

Os Marialvas vs Fátima head-to-head page →

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Os Marialvas8611+1119
2Oliveira Hospital8521+517
3O Elvas8512+516
4Mortágua8431+615
5Atlético Malveira8332+112
6UD da Serra8332+112
7Fátima8323+511
8Benfica Castelo Branco8314-610
9FC Alverca II8314+510
10AD Nogueirense8161-29
11Nazarenos8224-68
12Naval 18938215-47
13Sertanense8053-55
14Fazendense8017-161

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C predictions

League hub
FT Eléctrico4 Peniche2 121%3.60X20%3.50259%1.80 1.0–1.9xG 2Peniche to win 59%@1.80 ✗
FT Lajense3 Lusitânia1 155%1.57X25%3.50220%5.00 1.7–1.1xG 1Lajense to win 55%@1.57 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Os Marialvas vs Fátima?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Os Marialvas vs Fátima?

On our numbers Os Marialvas have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fátima 19%.

How many goals will there be in Os Marialvas vs Fátima?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Os Marialvas vs Fátima?

Our predicted score is Os Marialvas 1–0 Fátima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Os Marialvas vs Fátima?

Os Marialvas vs Fátima (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Cantanhede.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.