Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: AF Elbasani to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVllaznia Shkodër to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.25
Vllaznia Shkodër vs AF Elbasani: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 February the Superliga brings Vllaznia Shkodër against AF Elbasani at Loro Borici Stadium. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Vllaznia Shkodër are 8th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 11 matches; AF Elbasani are 6th (lower half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vllaznia Shkodër 1.2 xG, AF Elbasani 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vllaznia Shkodër 42%, draw 27%, AF Elbasani 32%.
Price worth noting: AF Elbasani to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vllaznia Shkodër 1–1 AF Elbasani. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vllaznia Shkodër42%fair 2.40 · @2.00
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.10
AF Elbasani32%fair 3.14 · @3.40
2.29Expected goals
1.20Vllaznia Shkodër xG
1.09AF Elbasani xG
45%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Vllaznia Shkodër 1.2 – 1.1 AF Elbasani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vllaznia Shkodër to win✓
42%
2.40
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Vllaznia Shkodër (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
AF Elbasani +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Vllaznia Shkodër to score first✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vllaznia Shkodër / FT Vllaznia Shkodër✓
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.25
–
Recent results
Vllaznia Shkodër
No recent results on record.
AF Elbasani
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vllaznia Shkodër and AF Elbasani.
What is the prediction for Vllaznia Shkodër vs AF Elbasani?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Vllaznia Shkodër vs AF Elbasani?
On our numbers Vllaznia Shkodër have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and AF Elbasani 32%.
How many goals will there be in Vllaznia Shkodër vs AF Elbasani?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vllaznia Shkodër vs AF Elbasani?
Our predicted score is Vllaznia Shkodër 1–1 AF Elbasani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Vllaznia Shkodër vs AF Elbasani?
Vllaznia Shkodër vs AF Elbasani (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Loro Borici Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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