Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.46
Tirana vs AF Elbasani: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 8 March: Tirana v AF Elbasani in the Superliga, played at Arena Kombetare. In the table, Tirana are 4th, among the top four, on 15 points after 11 matches; AF Elbasani are 6th (lower half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Tirana, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Dinamo Tirana, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
AF Elbasani, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Partizani, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AF Elbasani, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.0 for Tirana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tirana 1.2 xG, AF Elbasani 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tirana 38%, draw 26%, AF Elbasani 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tirana 1–1 AF Elbasani. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tirana38%fair 2.66 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.20
AF Elbasani36%fair 2.78 · @2.55
2.34Expected goals
1.23Tirana xG
1.11AF Elbasani xG
44%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Tirana 1.2 – 1.1 AF Elbasani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tirana to win✗
38%
2.66
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Tirana (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
AF Elbasani +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Tirana to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tirana / FT Tirana✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.46
–
Recent results
Tirana – last 4
LLLL
4 Mar
@ Dinamo Tirana
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ Vllaznia Shkodër
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Teuta Durrës
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Partizani
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
AF Elbasani – last 3
WWL
4 Mar
@ Partizani
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Vora
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Vllaznia Shkodër
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tirana and AF Elbasani.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Tirana vs AF Elbasani?
On our numbers Tirana have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and AF Elbasani 36%.
How many goals will there be in Tirana vs AF Elbasani?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tirana vs AF Elbasani?
Our predicted score is Tirana 1–1 AF Elbasani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Tirana vs AF Elbasani?
Tirana vs AF Elbasani (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Kombetare.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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