Value bet: Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAF Elbasani to win ✗44% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.25
AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Egnatia Rrogozhinë travel to face AF Elbasani on Friday 20 March in the Superliga, with Elbasan Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, AF Elbasani are 6th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Egnatia Rrogozhinë are 1st (leading the league) with 27. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
AF Elbasani, last 4: WWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tirana, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë, last 4: DWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Vllaznia Shkodër, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AF Elbasani 1.2 xG, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AF Elbasani 44%, draw 25%, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 31%.
Price worth noting: Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: AF Elbasani 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AF Elbasani44%fair 2.30 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.20
Egnatia Rrogozhinë31%fair 3.18 · @3.60
2.37Expected goals
1.16AF Elbasani xG
1.21Egnatia Rrogozhinë xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: AF Elbasani 1.2 – 1.2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AF Elbasani to win✗
44%
2.30
1.91
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
AF Elbasani (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
AF Elbasani +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Egnatia Rrogozhinë to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Egnatia Rrogozhinë / FT Egnatia Rrogozhinë✗
21%
4.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.25
–
Recent results
AF Elbasani – last 4
WWWL
8 Mar
@ Tirana
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Partizani
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Vora
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Vllaznia Shkodër
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Egnatia Rrogozhinë – last 4
DWDW
13 Mar
vs Vllaznia Shkodër
0–0
D
9 Mar
vs Teuta Durrës
4–2
W
4 Mar
vs Teuta Durrës
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Dinamo Tirana
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AF Elbasani and Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
What is the prediction for AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
On our numbers AF Elbasani have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Egnatia Rrogozhinë 31%.
How many goals will there be in AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Our predicted score is AF Elbasani 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë (Superliga) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Elbasan Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
