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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

AF Elbasani v Partizani: numbers & prediction

Superliga · Albania · Elbasan Arena
3–0
FT
AF Elbasani 53%Draw 27%Partizani 21% Expected goals 1.53 – 0.91
79%
Betarazi pick

AF Elbasani or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAF Elbasani to win ✓53% · @1.95
Double chanceAF Elbasani or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.77

AF Elbasani vs Partizani: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

AF Elbasani welcome Partizani to Elbasan Arena for a Superliga fixture on Monday 13 April (18:00 WAT). In the table, AF Elbasani are 6th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Partizani are 10th (in the drop zone) with 10.

Current form

AF Elbasani, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Egnatia Rrogozhinë, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Partizani, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Vora, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Mar 2026) it ended Partizani 1–2 AF Elbasani.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AF Elbasani 1.5 xG, Partizani 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – AF Elbasani 53%, draw 27%, Partizani 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: AF Elbasani or draw (79%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was AF Elbasani or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: AF Elbasani 1–0 Partizani. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AF Elbasani53%fair 1.90 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.00
Partizani21%fair 4.80 · @3.70
2.44Expected goals
1.53AF Elbasani xG
0.91Partizani xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%

From our goals model: AF Elbasani 1.5 – 0.9 Partizani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAF Elbasani to win ✓53%1.901.95
Double chanceAF Elbasani or draw ✓79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.812.05 ▲
Draw no betAF Elbasani (draw no bet) ✓72%1.40–
Asian handicapPartizani +1 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreAF Elbasani to score first ✓57%1.74–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT AF Elbasani / FT AF Elbasani ✗31%3.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.77–

Recent results

AF Elbasani – last 6

DDWWWL
8 Apr@ Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–1D
20 Marvs Egnatia Rrogozhinë0–0D
8 Mar@ Tirana1–0W
4 Mar@ Partizani2–1W
21 Febvs Vora2–1W
15 Feb@ Vllaznia Shkodër1–2L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Partizani – last 5

DWLWW
15 Mar@ Vora2–2D
9 Mar@ Dinamo Tirana2–0W
4 Marvs AF Elbasani1–2L
22 Feb@ Flamurtari2–1W
15 Febvs Tirana2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Mar 2026Partizani v AF Elbasani1–2
AF Elbasani vs Partizani head-to-head page →

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Egnatia Rrogozhinë11902+1527
2Teuta Durrës11623+920
3Dinamo Tirana11524+117
4Tirana11434015
5Skenderbeu Korce11353+114
6AF Elbasani11353014
7Vora11335-812
8Vllaznia Shkodër11335-412
9Laci11326-511
10Partizani11317-910

More Superliga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AF Elbasani vs Partizani?

Our pick is AF Elbasani or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win AF Elbasani vs Partizani?

On our numbers AF Elbasani have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Partizani 21%.

How many goals will there be in AF Elbasani vs Partizani?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AF Elbasani vs Partizani?

Our predicted score is AF Elbasani 1–0 Partizani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is AF Elbasani vs Partizani?

AF Elbasani vs Partizani (Superliga) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Elbasan Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.