AF Elbasani 41%Draw 27%Vllaznia Shkodër 32%Expected goals 1.30 – 1.00
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: AF Elbasani to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAF Elbasani to win ✓41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.67
AF Elbasani vs Vllaznia Shkodër: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AF Elbasani welcome Vllaznia Shkodër to Elbasan Arena for a Superliga fixture on Monday 27 April (18:00 WAT). In the table, AF Elbasani are 6th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Vllaznia Shkodër are 8th (in the drop zone) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AF Elbasani, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Partizani, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Vllaznia Shkodër, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dinamo Tirana, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AF Elbasani, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Vllaznia Shkodër.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Vllaznia Shkodër 2–1 AF Elbasani.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AF Elbasani 1.3 xG, Vllaznia Shkodër 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AF Elbasani 41%, draw 27%, Vllaznia Shkodër 32%.
Price worth noting: AF Elbasani to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: AF Elbasani 1–0 Vllaznia Shkodër. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AF Elbasani41%fair 2.44 · @2.62
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @2.88
Vllaznia Shkodër32%fair 3.15 · @2.60
2.30Expected goals
1.30AF Elbasani xG
1.00Vllaznia Shkodër xG
46%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: AF Elbasani 1.3 – 1.0 Vllaznia Shkodër expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AF Elbasani vs Vllaznia Shkodër?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win AF Elbasani vs Vllaznia Shkodër?
On our numbers AF Elbasani have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Vllaznia Shkodër 32%.
How many goals will there be in AF Elbasani vs Vllaznia Shkodër?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AF Elbasani vs Vllaznia Shkodër?
Our predicted score is AF Elbasani 1–0 Vllaznia Shkodër, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is AF Elbasani vs Vllaznia Shkodër?
AF Elbasani vs Vllaznia Shkodër (Superliga) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Elbasan Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Flamurtari3