Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.52
AF Elbasani vs Tirana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AF Elbasani welcome Tirana to Elbasan Arena for a Superliga fixture on Sunday 10 May (15:00 WAT). In the table, AF Elbasani are 6th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Tirana are 4th (among the top four) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AF Elbasani, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bylis, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tirana, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Vllaznia Shkodër, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AF Elbasani, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Tirana.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Tirana 0–1 AF Elbasani.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AF Elbasani 1.3 xG, Tirana 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AF Elbasani 41%, draw 26%, Tirana 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: AF Elbasani 1–1 Tirana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AF Elbasani41%fair 2.45 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.30
Tirana33%fair 3.02 · @2.70
2.39Expected goals
1.28AF Elbasani xG
1.11Tirana xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: AF Elbasani 1.3 – 1.1 Tirana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win AF Elbasani vs Tirana?
On our numbers AF Elbasani have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tirana 33%.
How many goals will there be in AF Elbasani vs Tirana?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AF Elbasani vs Tirana?
Our predicted score is AF Elbasani 1–1 Tirana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is AF Elbasani vs Tirana?
AF Elbasani vs Tirana (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Elbasan Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.