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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

AF Elbasani v Tirana: numbers & prediction

Superliga · Albania · Elbasan Arena
1–3
FT

Tirana

WDWLL
AF Elbasani 41%Draw 26%Tirana 33% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.11
56%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultAF Elbasani to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.52

AF Elbasani vs Tirana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

AF Elbasani welcome Tirana to Elbasan Arena for a Superliga fixture on Sunday 10 May (15:00 WAT). In the table, AF Elbasani are 6th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Tirana are 4th (among the top four) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

AF Elbasani, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bylis, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Tirana, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Vllaznia Shkodër, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours AF Elbasani, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Tirana.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Tirana 0–1 AF Elbasani.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AF Elbasani 1.3 xG, Tirana 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – AF Elbasani 41%, draw 26%, Tirana 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: AF Elbasani 1–1 Tirana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AF Elbasani41%fair 2.45 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.30
Tirana33%fair 3.02 · @2.70
2.39Expected goals
1.28AF Elbasani xG
1.11Tirana xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: AF Elbasani 1.3 – 1.1 Tirana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAF Elbasani to win ✗41%2.452.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.89–
Draw no betAF Elbasani (draw no bet) ✗55%1.81–
Asian handicapTirana +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.801.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreAF Elbasani to score first ✗49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT AF Elbasani / FT AF Elbasani ✗23%4.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.52–

Recent results

AF Elbasani – last 6

LWWDDW
6 May@ Bylis1–2L
27 Aprvs Vllaznia Shkodër3–1W
13 Aprvs Partizani3–0W
8 Apr@ Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–1D
20 Marvs Egnatia Rrogozhinë0–0D
8 Mar@ Tirana1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Tirana – last 6

WDWLLL
6 Mayvs Vllaznia Shkodër1–0W
3 Apr@ Flamurtari1–1D
22 Marvs Vora3–0W
8 Marvs AF Elbasani0–1L
4 Mar@ Dinamo Tirana0–2L
27 Feb@ Vllaznia Shkodër1–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026Tirana v AF Elbasani0–1
AF Elbasani vs Tirana head-to-head page →

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Egnatia Rrogozhinë11902+1527
2Teuta Durrës11623+920
3Dinamo Tirana11524+117
4Tirana11434015
5Skenderbeu Korce11353+114
6AF Elbasani11353014
7Vora11335-812
8Vllaznia Shkodër11335-412
9Laci11326-511
10Partizani11317-910

More Superliga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AF Elbasani vs Tirana?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win AF Elbasani vs Tirana?

On our numbers AF Elbasani have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tirana 33%.

How many goals will there be in AF Elbasani vs Tirana?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AF Elbasani vs Tirana?

Our predicted score is AF Elbasani 1–1 Tirana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is AF Elbasani vs Tirana?

AF Elbasani vs Tirana (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Elbasan Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.