Pafos travel to face AEL on Sunday 15 February in the 1. Division, with Alphamega Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, AEL are 3rd, among the top four, on 18 points after 9 matches; Pafos are 6th (upper half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AEL 1.1 xG, Pafos 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AEL 26%, draw 25%, Pafos 48%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: AEL 1–1 Pafos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AEL26%fair 3.81 · @3.95
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.40
Pafos48%fair 2.06 · @1.80
2.61Expected goals
1.13AEL xG
1.48Pafos xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: AEL 1.1 – 1.5 Pafos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pafos to win✓
48%
2.06
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.75
Draw no bet
Pafos (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
AEL +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Pafos to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pafos / FT Pafos✓
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.98
–
Recent results
AEL
No recent results on record.
Pafos
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AEL and Pafos.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win AEL vs Pafos?
On our numbers AEL have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pafos 48%.
How many goals will there be in AEL vs Pafos?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEL vs Pafos?
Our predicted score is AEL 1–1 Pafos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is AEL vs Pafos?
AEL vs Pafos (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ethnikos Achna3