Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultApollon Limassol to win ✓62% · @1.53
Double chanceApollon Limassol or draw ✓84% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.18
Apollon Limassol vs AEL: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AEL travel to face Apollon Limassol on Sunday 8 March in the 1. Division, with Alphamega Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Apollon Limassol are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 9 matches; AEL are 3rd (among the top four) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Apollon Limassol 1.9 xG, AEL 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Apollon Limassol 62%, draw 22%, AEL 16%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Apollon Limassol 2–0 AEL. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Apollon Limassol62%fair 1.61 · @1.53
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.65
AEL16%fair 6.43 · @5.75
2.75Expected goals
1.88Apollon Limassol xG
0.87AEL xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Apollon Limassol 1.9 – 0.9 AEL expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Apollon Limassol to win✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Double chance
Apollon Limassol or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Apollon Limassol (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Apollon Limassol -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Apollon Limassol to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Apollon Limassol ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Apollon Limassol / FT Apollon Limassol✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Apollon Limassol – last 2
DW
2 Mar
@ Omonia Nicosia
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Ethnikos Achna
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
AEL – last 2
WL
20 Feb
@ Enosis
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Pafos
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Apollon Limassol and AEL.
What is the prediction for Apollon Limassol vs AEL?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Apollon Limassol vs AEL?
On our numbers Apollon Limassol have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AEL 16%.
How many goals will there be in Apollon Limassol vs AEL?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Apollon Limassol vs AEL?
Our predicted score is Apollon Limassol 2–0 AEL, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Apollon Limassol vs AEL?
Apollon Limassol vs AEL (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Enosis0