Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAEK Larnaca to win ✓69% · @1.20
Double chanceAEK Larnaca or draw ✓89% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60
AEK Larnaca vs Akritas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AEK Larnaca welcome Akritas to AEK Arena for a 1. Division fixture on Friday 6 March (18:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AEK Larnaca 2.0 xG, Akritas 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AEK Larnaca 69%, draw 19%, Akritas 11%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: AEK Larnaca 2–0 Akritas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AEK Larnaca69%fair 1.44 · @1.20
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @5.20
Akritas11%fair 8.71 · @13.00
2.70Expected goals
1.99AEK Larnaca xG
0.71Akritas xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–19%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: AEK Larnaca 2.0 – 0.7 Akritas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AEK Larnaca to win✓
69%
1.44
1.20
Double chance
AEK Larnaca or draw✓
89%
1.13
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
AEK Larnaca (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
AEK Larnaca -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
AEK Larnaca to score first✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
AEK Larnaca ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AEK Larnaca / FT AEK Larnaca✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
AEK Larnaca – last 2
DL
1 Mar
vs Olympiakos
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Omonia Aradippou
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Akritas – last 2
LW
1 Mar
vs Krasava Ypsonas
1–3
L
21 Feb
@ Olympiakos
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AEK Larnaca and Akritas.
What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca vs Akritas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Akritas?
On our numbers AEK Larnaca have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Akritas 11%.
How many goals will there be in AEK Larnaca vs Akritas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEK Larnaca vs Akritas?
Our predicted score is AEK Larnaca 2–0 Akritas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is AEK Larnaca vs Akritas?
AEK Larnaca vs Akritas (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at AEK Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
