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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aris v Apoel Nicosia: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Cyprus · Alphamega Stadium

Aris

WDD
1–2
FT
Aris 41%Draw 25%Apoel Nicosia 34% Expected goals 1.63 – 1.53
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultAris to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.60

Aris vs Apoel Nicosia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Apoel Nicosia travel to face Aris on Sunday 15 March in the 1. Division, with Alphamega Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Aris are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 9 matches; Apoel Nicosia are 4th (among the top four) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Aris, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Enosis, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Apoel Nicosia, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Anorthosis, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Aris, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Apoel Nicosia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aris 1.6 xG, Apoel Nicosia 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aris 41%, draw 25%, Apoel Nicosia 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aris 1–1 Apoel Nicosia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aris41%fair 2.42 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.10
Apoel Nicosia34%fair 2.95 · @3.00
3.17Expected goals
1.63Aris xG
1.53Apoel Nicosia xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: Aris 1.6 – 1.5 Apoel Nicosia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAris to win ✗41%2.422.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.70
Draw no betAris (draw no bet) ✗55%1.82–
Asian handicapApoel Nicosia +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scoreAris to score first ✗49%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.60–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aris / FT Aris ✗24%4.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.60–

Recent results

Aris – last 3

WDD
8 Mar@ Enosis4–0W
1 Marvs Pafos2–2D
20 Feb@ Krasava Ypsonas1–1D
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Apoel Nicosia – last 3

LWL
8 Marvs Anorthosis0–2L
22 Febvs Omonia Nicosia1–0W
15 Feb@ Ethnikos Achna2–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Aris and Apoel Nicosia.

Aris vs Apoel Nicosia head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1AEK Larnaca9621+1120
2Omonia Nicosia9531+1118
3AEL9603018
4Apoel Nicosia9522+1017
5Apollon Limassol9441+1016
6Pafos9441+616
7Aris9432015
8Omonia 29is Maiou9324-211
9Olympiakos9162-19
10Nea Salamis9225-48
11Anorthosis9207-106
12Karmiotissa9135-146
13Omonia Aradippou9135-66
14Krasava Ypsonas9126-115

More 1. Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?

On our numbers Aris have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Apoel Nicosia 34%.

How many goals will there be in Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?

Our predicted score is Aris 1–1 Apoel Nicosia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?

Aris vs Apoel Nicosia (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.