Ethnikos Achna vs AEK Larnaca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Monday 16 March: Ethnikos Achna v AEK Larnaca in the 1. Division, played at Ethnikos Achnas.
Current form
AEK Larnaca, last 4: DWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Crystal Palace, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ethnikos Achna 1.2 xG, AEK Larnaca 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ethnikos Achna 24%, draw 24%, AEK Larnaca 52%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.75, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ethnikos Achna 1–1 AEK Larnaca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ethnikos Achna24%fair 4.16 · @5.80
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.50
AEK Larnaca52%fair 1.93 · @1.53
2.74Expected goals
1.18Ethnikos Achna xG
1.55AEK Larnaca xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ethnikos Achna 1.2 – 1.6 AEK Larnaca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AEK Larnaca to win✓
52%
1.93
1.53
Double chance
AEK Larnaca or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
AEK Larnaca (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Ethnikos Achna +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
AEK Larnaca to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AEK Larnaca / FT AEK Larnaca✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.81
–
Recent results
Ethnikos Achna – last 2
LW
21 Feb
@ Apollon Limassol
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Apoel Nicosia
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
AEK Larnaca – last 4
DWDL
12 Mar
@ Crystal Palace
0–0
D
6 Mar
vs Akritas
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Olympiakos
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Omonia Aradippou
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ethnikos Achna and AEK Larnaca.
What is the prediction for Ethnikos Achna vs AEK Larnaca?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Ethnikos Achna vs AEK Larnaca?
On our numbers Ethnikos Achna have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AEK Larnaca 52%.
How many goals will there be in Ethnikos Achna vs AEK Larnaca?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ethnikos Achna vs AEK Larnaca?
Our predicted score is Ethnikos Achna 1–1 AEK Larnaca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ethnikos Achna vs AEK Larnaca?
Ethnikos Achna vs AEK Larnaca (1. Division) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Ethnikos Achnas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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