Value bet: Nkana to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNkana to win ✗36% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗69% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 6.06
NAPSA Stars vs Nkana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 30 April the Super League brings NAPSA Stars against Nkana at REIZ Arena. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, NAPSA Stars are 6th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Nkana are 3rd (among the top four) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
NAPSA Stars, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with ZESCO United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Nkana, last 4: WLDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Mines, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nkana, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for NAPSA Stars.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NAPSA Stars 0.8 xG, Nkana 1.0 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NAPSA Stars 33%, draw 31%, Nkana 36%.
Price worth noting: Nkana to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: NAPSA Stars 0–0 Nkana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NAPSA Stars33%fair 3.07 · @2.45
Draw31%fair 3.22 · @2.70
Nkana36%fair 2.75 · @3.00
1.80Expected goals
0.80NAPSA Stars xG
1.00Nkana xG
41%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
0–117%
1–013%
1–113%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: NAPSA Stars 0.8 – 1.0 Nkana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nkana to win✗
36%
2.75
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
–
Draw no bet
Nkana (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
NAPSA Stars +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Nkana to score first
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
6.06
–
Recent results
NAPSA Stars – last 6
DLLLDL
23 Apr
@ ZESCO United
1–1
D
15 Apr
@ Nkwazi
1–2
L
1 Apr
@ Kansanshi Dynamos
2–3
L
19 Mar
vs Man Utd Zambia Academy
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Green Buffaloes
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Power Dynamos
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nkana – last 4
WLDL
15 Apr
vs Mines
3–1
W
1 Apr
vs Red Arrows
1–2
L
19 Mar
@ Mufulira Wanderers
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Kabwe Warriors
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NAPSA Stars and Nkana.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win NAPSA Stars vs Nkana?
On our numbers NAPSA Stars have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Nkana 36%.
How many goals will there be in NAPSA Stars vs Nkana?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NAPSA Stars vs Nkana?
Our predicted score is NAPSA Stars 0–0 Nkana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is NAPSA Stars vs Nkana?
NAPSA Stars vs Nkana (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at REIZ Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
