Tienen 39%Draw 26%Merelbeke 35%Expected goals 1.44 – 1.31
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultTienen to win ✓39% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.53
Tienen vs Merelbeke: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 8 March: Tienen v Merelbeke in the First Amateur Division, played at Bergéstadion.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tienen 1.4 xG, Merelbeke 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tienen 39%, draw 26%, Merelbeke 35%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tienen 1–1 Merelbeke. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tienen39%fair 2.58 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.10
Merelbeke35%fair 2.85 · @2.60
2.75Expected goals
1.44Tienen xG
1.31Merelbeke xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Tienen 1.4 – 1.3 Merelbeke expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tienen
Merelbeke
Attack vs First Amateur Division average
-1%
-6%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.41
1.22
Our own ratings from every First Amateur Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tienen to win✓
39%
2.58
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.65
Draw no bet
Tienen (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Merelbeke +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Tienen to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tienen / FT Tienen✓
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.53
–
Recent results
Tienen
No recent results on record.
Merelbeke – last 2
LW
20 Feb
@ Zelzate
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Sporting Hasselt
4–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tienen and Merelbeke.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Tienen vs Merelbeke?
On our numbers Tienen have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Merelbeke 35%.
How many goals will there be in Tienen vs Merelbeke?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tienen vs Merelbeke?
Our predicted score is Tienen 1–1 Merelbeke, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Tienen vs Merelbeke?
Tienen vs Merelbeke (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Bergéstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Spouwen-Mopertingen2
Knokke3
Cercle Brugge II5
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar1
Diegem Sport0
Hoogstraten3
Zelzate0
Houtvenne3
Crossing Schaerbeek2
Sporting Charleroi II3
Stockay-Warfusée3
Standard Liège II0