Thes Sport 53%Draw 26%Tienen 21%Expected goals 1.61 – 1.00
79%
Betarazi pick
Thes Sport or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultThes Sport to win ✗53% · @1.75
Double chanceThes Sport or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Thes Sport vs Tienen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tienen travel to face Thes Sport on Friday 13 March in the First Amateur Division, with Gemeentelijk Sportpark the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Thes Sport 1.6 xG, Tienen 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Thes Sport 53%, draw 26%, Tienen 21%.
Lower-risk option: Thes Sport or draw (79%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Thes Sport or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thes Sport 1–1 Tienen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Thes Sport53%fair 1.87 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.25
Tienen21%fair 4.85 · @4.00
2.61Expected goals
1.61Thes Sport xG
1.00Tienen xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Thes Sport 1.6 – 1.0 Tienen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Thes Sport
Tienen
Attack vs First Amateur Division average
+1%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.53
1.09
Our own ratings from every First Amateur Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Thes Sport to win✗
53%
1.87
1.75
Double chance
Thes Sport or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.73
Draw no bet
Thes Sport (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Tienen +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Thes Sport to score first✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Thes Sport / FT Thes Sport✗
31%
3.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Thes Sport – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ Cercle Brugge II
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Tienen – last 1
W
8 Mar
vs Merelbeke
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thes Sport and Tienen.
Our pick is Thes Sport or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Thes Sport vs Tienen?
On our numbers Thes Sport have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tienen 21%.
How many goals will there be in Thes Sport vs Tienen?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thes Sport vs Tienen?
Our predicted score is Thes Sport 1–1 Tienen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Thes Sport vs Tienen?
Thes Sport vs Tienen (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Gemeentelijk Sportpark.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.