Knokke v Tienen Prediction & Expected Goals (19 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultKnokke to win ✓51% · @1.44

Double chanceKnokke or draw ✓76% · @1.12

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.13

Knokke vs Tienen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Knokke welcome Tienen to Stadion Olivier for a First Amateur Division fixture on Sunday 19 April (14:00 WAT).

Current form

Knokke, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lyra-Lierse Berlaar, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Tienen, last 4: WWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Spouwen-Mopertingen, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Knokke 1.5 xG, Tienen 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Knokke 51%, draw 24%, Tienen 24%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Knokke 1–1 Tienen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Knokke51%fair 1.94 · @1.44

Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.80

Tienen24%fair 4.14 · @5.00

2.72Expected goals

1.49Knokke xG

1.23Tienen xG

61%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–010%

2–19%

0–18%

1–27%

2–07%

From our goals model: Knokke 1.5 – 1.2 Tienen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Knokke	Tienen
Attack vs First Amateur Division average	-26%	-1%
Goals conceded vs average	-3%	-8%
Our expected goals here	1.12	1.36

Knokke

Tienen

Attack vs First Amateur Division average

-26%

-1%

Goals conceded vs average

-3%

-8%

Our expected goals here

1.12

1.36

Our own ratings from every First Amateur Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Knokke to win ✓	51%	1.94	1.44
Double chance	Knokke or draw ✓	76%	1.32	1.12
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	61%	1.64	1.62
Draw no bet	Knokke (draw no bet) ✓	68%	1.47	–
Asian handicap	Tienen +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	51%	1.96	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	71%	1.41	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
First team to score	Knokke to score first ✓	51%	1.96	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.39	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Knokke / FT Knokke ✓	25%	3.92	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.13	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Knokke to win ✓

51%

1.94

1.44

Double chance

Knokke or draw ✓

76%

1.32

1.12

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✗

61%

1.64

1.62

Draw no bet

Knokke (draw no bet) ✓

68%

1.47

–

Asian handicap

Tienen +1 (Asian handicap) ✗

73%

1.37

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

76%

1.32

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✗

51%

1.96

–

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

71%

1.41

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

86%

1.16

–

First team to score

Knokke to score first ✓

51%

1.96

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

42%

2.39

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Knokke / FT Knokke ✓

25%

3.92

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✗

11.13

–

29 Mar	vs Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	1–0	W
15 Mar	vs Cercle Brugge II	2–1	W
8 Mar	@ Spouwen-Mopertingen	3–2	W
1 Mar	vs Diegem Sport	3–0	W
22 Feb	vs Hoogstraten	1–1	D

29 Mar	@ Spouwen-Mopertingen	2–0	W
22 Mar	vs Diegem Sport	5–1	W
13 Mar	@ Thes Sport	0–0	D
8 Mar	vs Merelbeke	2–0	W

Knokke v Tienen: numbers & prediction