Durham W 21%Draw 21%Bristol City W 58%Expected goals 1.28 – 2.22
61%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultBristol City W to win ✗58% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61% · @1.65
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Durham W vs Bristol City W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 5 April the Women's Championship brings Durham W against Bristol City W at Maiden Castle. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Durham W are 12th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 7 matches; Bristol City W are 5th (upper half) with 13. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Durham W, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Nottingham Forest W, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Bristol City W, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Birmingham City W, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Bristol City W, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for Durham W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Durham W 1.3 xG, Bristol City W 2.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Durham W 21%, draw 21%, Bristol City W 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Durham W 1–2 Bristol City W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Durham W21%fair 4.78 · @4.20
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.60
Bristol City W58%fair 1.71 · @1.65
3.50Expected goals
1.28Durham W xG
2.22Bristol City W xG
53%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–27%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Durham W 1.3 – 2.2 Bristol City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bristol City W to win✗
58%
1.71
1.65
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Bristol City W (draw no bet)
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Durham W +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
First team to score
Bristol City W to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Bristol City W ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bristol City W / FT Bristol City W✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Durham W – last 5
LDLLL
29 Mar
@ Nottingham Forest W
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Southampton W
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Ipswich Town W
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Sunderland W
2–3
L
15 Feb
@ Charlton Athletic W
2–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Bristol City W – last 5
LWDLL
29 Mar
vs Birmingham City W
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Charlton Athletic W
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Portsmouth W
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Arsenal W
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Southampton W
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Durham W and Bristol City W.
What is the prediction for Durham W vs Bristol City W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Durham W vs Bristol City W?
On our numbers Durham W have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bristol City W 58%.
How many goals will there be in Durham W vs Bristol City W?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Durham W vs Bristol City W?
Our predicted score is Durham W 1–2 Bristol City W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Durham W vs Bristol City W?
Durham W vs Bristol City W (Women's Championship) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Maiden Castle.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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