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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Brighton W v Arsenal W: numbers & prediction

FA WSL · England · Broadfield Stadium
1–1
FT
Brighton W 18%Draw 23%Arsenal W 59% Expected goals 1.09 – 1.70
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultArsenal W to win ✗59% · @1.31
Double chanceArsenal W or draw ✓82% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.33

Brighton W vs Arsenal W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Arsenal W travel to face Brighton W on Wednesday 6 May in the FA WSL, with Broadfield Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Brighton W are 7th, upper half, on 11 points after 9 matches; Arsenal W are 6th (upper half) with 13. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Brighton W, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Manchester United W, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Arsenal W, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 7–0 win over Leicester City WFC, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Arsenal W 0–2 Brighton W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Brighton W 1.1 xG, Arsenal W 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 59%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Brighton W 18%, draw 23%, Arsenal W 59%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brighton W 1–1 Arsenal W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Brighton W18%fair 5.57 · @7.90
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @5.00
Arsenal W59%fair 1.69 · @1.31
2.79Expected goals
1.09Brighton W xG
1.70Arsenal W xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
2–16%

From our goals model: Brighton W 1.1 – 1.7 Arsenal W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Brighton WArsenal W
Attack vs FA WSL average-1%-8%
Goals conceded vs average-14%-31%
Our expected goals here1.141.25

Our own ratings from every FA WSL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArsenal W to win ✗59%1.691.31
Double chanceArsenal W or draw ✓82%1.221.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.70
Draw no betArsenal W (draw no bet)77%1.30–
Asian handicapBrighton W +1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.261.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.711.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.591.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.261.25
First team to scoreArsenal W to score first ✗57%1.75–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arsenal W / FT Arsenal W ✗32%3.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.33–

Recent results

Brighton W – last 6

DWWDLW
2 May@ Manchester United W1–1D
5 Apr@ Arsenal W2–0W
29 Mar@ Leicester City WFC1–0W
22 Marvs Liverpool W0–0D
18 Mar@ Chelsea W1–2L
22 Feb@ West Ham W2–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Arsenal W – last 6

WLLWWW
29 Aprvs Leicester City WFC7–0W
5 Aprvs Brighton W0–2L
1 Apr@ Chelsea W0–1L
24 Marvs Chelsea W3–1W
15 Mar@ London City Lionesses2–0W
22 Febvs Bristol City W3–0W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Arsenal W v Brighton W0–2
Brighton W vs Arsenal W head-to-head page →

FA WSL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City W9810+1725
2Chelsea W9720+2323
3London City Lionesses W9612+1319
4Tottenham Hotspur W9513+716
5Manchester United W9432-115
6Arsenal W9342013
7Brighton W9324+311
8Everton W9324-211
9Aston Villa W9243-610
10Crystal Palace W9234-99
11West Ham W9306-109
12Liverpool W9225-28
13Birmingham City W9135-106
14Charlton Athletic W9009-230

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Brighton W vs Arsenal W?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Brighton W vs Arsenal W?

On our numbers Brighton W have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arsenal W 59%.

How many goals will there be in Brighton W vs Arsenal W?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Brighton W vs Arsenal W?

Our predicted score is Brighton W 1–1 Arsenal W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Brighton W vs Arsenal W?

Brighton W vs Arsenal W (FA WSL) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Broadfield Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.