Chelsea W 77%Draw 16%Liverpool W 8%Expected goals 2.50 – 0.76
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultChelsea W to win ✓77% · @1.14
Double chanceChelsea W or draw ✓92% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 9.97
Chelsea W vs Liverpool W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 February the FA WSL brings Chelsea W against Liverpool W at Kingsmeadow. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Chelsea W are 2nd, among the top four, on 23 points after 9 matches; Liverpool W are 12th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chelsea W 2.5 xG, Liverpool W 0.8 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 50% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chelsea W 77%, draw 16%, Liverpool W 8%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelsea W 3–0 Liverpool W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chelsea W77%fair 1.30 · @1.14
Draw16%fair 6.35 · @6.60
Liverpool W8%fair 13.33 · @16.50
3.26Expected goals
2.50Chelsea W xG
0.76Liverpool W xG
50%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
3–010%
1–010%
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Chelsea W 2.5 – 0.8 Liverpool W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Chelsea W
Liverpool W
Attack vs FA WSL average
+59%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
-35%
+3%
Our expected goals here
2.77
0.95
Our own ratings from every FA WSL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelsea W to win✓
77%
1.30
1.14
Double chance
Chelsea W or draw✓
92%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.48
Draw no bet
Chelsea W (draw no bet)✓
91%
1.10
–
Asian handicap
Chelsea W -1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.60
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
First team to score
Chelsea W to score first✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Chelsea W ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelsea W / FT Chelsea W✓
52%
1.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
10%
9.97
–
Recent results
Chelsea W
No recent results on record.
Liverpool W
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelsea W and Liverpool W.
What is the prediction for Chelsea W vs Liverpool W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Chelsea W vs Liverpool W?
On our numbers Chelsea W have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Liverpool W 8%.
How many goals will there be in Chelsea W vs Liverpool W?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea W vs Liverpool W?
Our predicted score is Chelsea W 3–0 Liverpool W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Chelsea W vs Liverpool W?
Chelsea W vs Liverpool W (FA WSL) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Kingsmeadow.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
