Double chanceManchester City W or draw ✓88% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.83
Aston Villa W vs Manchester City W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:55 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Aston Villa W v Manchester City W in the FA WSL, played at Villa Park. In the table, Aston Villa W are 9th, lower half, on 10 points after 9 matches; Manchester City W are 1st (leading the league) with 25. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aston Villa W 1.1 xG, Manchester City W 2.6 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aston Villa W 12%, draw 18%, Manchester City W 70%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Manchester City W to win (70%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aston Villa W 1–2 Manchester City W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aston Villa W12%fair 8.39 · @9.00
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @5.50
Manchester City W70%fair 1.44 · @1.25
3.67Expected goals
1.08Aston Villa W xG
2.59Manchester City W xG
61%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
0–29%
1–38%
0–37%
1–17%
0–17%
From our goals model: Aston Villa W 1.1 – 2.6 Manchester City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Aston Villa W
Manchester City W
Attack vs FA WSL average
-15%
+53%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
-22%
Our expected goals here
1.12
2.54
Our own ratings from every FA WSL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester City W to win✗
70%
1.44
1.25
Double chance
Manchester City W or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.70
Draw no bet
Manchester City W (draw no bet)
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Manchester City W -1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
First team to score
Manchester City W to score first✗
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Manchester City W ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester City W / FT Manchester City W✗
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.83
–
Recent results
Aston Villa W – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Tottenham Hotspur W
3–7
L
3.0Scored / game
7.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Manchester City W – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Sheffield United W
4–0
W
13 Feb
vs Leicester City WFC
6–0
W
5.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aston Villa W and Manchester City W.
What is the prediction for Aston Villa W vs Manchester City W?
Our pick is Manchester City W to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Aston Villa W vs Manchester City W?
On our numbers Aston Villa W have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Manchester City W 70%.
How many goals will there be in Aston Villa W vs Manchester City W?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa W vs Manchester City W?
Our predicted score is Aston Villa W 1–2 Manchester City W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Aston Villa W vs Manchester City W?
Aston Villa W vs Manchester City W (FA WSL) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 12:55 (West Africa Time) at Villa Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leicester City WFC0