Chelsea W 75%Draw 15%Aston Villa W 10%Expected goals 2.57 – 0.81
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChelsea W to win ✓75% · @1.18
Double chanceChelsea W or draw ✓90% · fair 1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aston Villa W travel to face Chelsea W on Sunday 29 March in the FA WSL, with Kingsmeadow the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Chelsea W are 2nd, among the top four, on 23 points after 9 matches; Aston Villa W are 9th (lower half) with 10. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Chelsea W, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Arsenal W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Aston Villa W, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Leicester City WFC, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Chelsea W, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Aston Villa W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chelsea W 2.6 xG, Aston Villa W 0.8 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chelsea W 75%, draw 15%, Aston Villa W 10%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelsea W 3–0 Aston Villa W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chelsea W75%fair 1.33 · @1.18
Draw15%fair 6.49 · @5.90
Aston Villa W10%fair 10.34 · @13.50
3.39Expected goals
2.57Chelsea W xG
0.81Aston Villa W xG
58%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–09%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Chelsea W 2.6 – 0.8 Aston Villa W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Chelsea W
Aston Villa W
Attack vs FA WSL average
+59%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
-35%
+5%
Our expected goals here
2.81
0.87
Our own ratings from every FA WSL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelsea W to win✓
75%
1.33
1.18
Double chance
Chelsea W or draw✓
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Chelsea W (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Chelsea W -1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.28
First team to score
Chelsea W to score first
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Chelsea W ahead at half-time✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelsea W / FT Chelsea W✗
52%
1.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Chelsea W – last 5
LWWDW
24 Mar
@ Arsenal W
1–3
L
18 Mar
vs Brighton W
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Manchester United W
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Manchester United W
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Liverpool W
2–0
W
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Aston Villa W – last 3
WDL
22 Mar
@ Leicester City WFC
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Manchester City W
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Tottenham Hotspur W
3–7
L
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelsea W and Aston Villa W.
What is the prediction for Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W?
On our numbers Chelsea W have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Aston Villa W 10%.
How many goals will there be in Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W?
Our predicted score is Chelsea W 3–0 Aston Villa W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W?
Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W (FA WSL) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Kingsmeadow.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leicester City WFC0