Aston Villa W 15%Draw 22%Arsenal W 63%Expected goals 1.02 – 1.98
60%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultArsenal W to win ✓63% · @1.25
Double chanceArsenal W or draw ✓85% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Aston Villa W vs Arsenal W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arsenal W travel to face Aston Villa W on Saturday 9 May in the FA WSL, with Villa Park the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Aston Villa W are 9th, lower half, on 10 points after 9 matches; Arsenal W are 6th (upper half) with 13. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Aston Villa W, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to West Ham W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Arsenal W, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Brighton W, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Arsenal W, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Aston Villa W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aston Villa W 1.0 xG, Arsenal W 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aston Villa W 15%, draw 22%, Arsenal W 63%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (60%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aston Villa W 1–1 Arsenal W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aston Villa W15%fair 6.77 · @10.00
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @5.25
Arsenal W63%fair 1.58 · @1.25
3.00Expected goals
1.02Aston Villa W xG
1.98Arsenal W xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–210%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Aston Villa W 1.0 – 2.0 Arsenal W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Aston Villa W
Arsenal W
Attack vs FA WSL average
-15%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
-31%
Our expected goals here
0.98
1.53
Our own ratings from every FA WSL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal W to win✓
63%
1.58
1.25
Double chance
Arsenal W or draw✓
85%
1.17
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.73
Draw no bet
Arsenal W (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Aston Villa W +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
First team to score
Arsenal W to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Arsenal W ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal W / FT Arsenal W✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Aston Villa W – last 5
LLWDL
4 May
vs West Ham W
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Chelsea W
3–4
L
22 Mar
@ Leicester City WFC
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Manchester City W
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Tottenham Hotspur W
3–7
L
1.6Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Arsenal W – last 6
DWLLWW
6 May
@ Brighton W
1–1
D
29 Apr
vs Leicester City WFC
7–0
W
5 Apr
vs Brighton W
0–2
L
1 Apr
@ Chelsea W
0–1
L
24 Mar
vs Chelsea W
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ London City Lionesses
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aston Villa W and Arsenal W.
What is the prediction for Aston Villa W vs Arsenal W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Aston Villa W vs Arsenal W?
On our numbers Aston Villa W have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Arsenal W 63%.
How many goals will there be in Aston Villa W vs Arsenal W?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa W vs Arsenal W?
Our predicted score is Aston Villa W 1–1 Arsenal W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Aston Villa W vs Arsenal W?
Aston Villa W vs Arsenal W (FA WSL) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Villa Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
