Everton W 8%Draw 18%Chelsea W 74%Expected goals 0.71 – 2.27
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChelsea W to win ✓74% · @1.15
Double chanceChelsea W or draw ✓92% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.74
Everton W vs Chelsea W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chelsea W travel to face Everton W on Sunday 26 April in the FA WSL, with Goodison Park the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Everton W are 8th, lower half, on 11 points after 9 matches; Chelsea W are 2nd (among the top four) with 23. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Everton W, last 4: LWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Liverpool W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Chelsea W, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tottenham Hotspur W, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Chelsea W, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Everton W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Everton W 0.7 xG, Chelsea W 2.3 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 51% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Everton W 8%, draw 18%, Chelsea W 74%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Everton W 0–2 Chelsea W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Everton W8%fair 12.75 · @17.00
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @6.20
Chelsea W74%fair 1.35 · @1.15
2.98Expected goals
0.71Everton W xG
2.27Chelsea W xG
51%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–213%
0–112%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Everton W 0.7 – 2.3 Chelsea W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Everton W
Chelsea W
Attack vs FA WSL average
-30%
+59%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
-35%
Our expected goals here
0.77
2.09
Our own ratings from every FA WSL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelsea W to win✓
74%
1.35
1.15
Double chance
Chelsea W or draw✓
92%
1.09
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Chelsea W (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Chelsea W -1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.25
First team to score
Chelsea W to score first
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Chelsea W ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelsea W / FT Chelsea W✗
48%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.74
–
Recent results
Everton W – last 4
LWLW
28 Mar
vs Liverpool W
2–3
L
15 Mar
@ Tottenham Hotspur W
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Liverpool W
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs West Ham W
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Chelsea W – last 6
WWWLWW
6 Apr
vs Tottenham Hotspur W
2–1
W
1 Apr
vs Arsenal W
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Aston Villa W
4–3
W
24 Mar
@ Arsenal W
1–3
L
18 Mar
vs Brighton W
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Manchester United W
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Everton W and Chelsea W.
What is the prediction for Everton W vs Chelsea W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Everton W vs Chelsea W?
On our numbers Everton W have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Chelsea W 74%.
How many goals will there be in Everton W vs Chelsea W?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Everton W vs Chelsea W?
Our predicted score is Everton W 0–2 Chelsea W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Everton W vs Chelsea W?
Everton W vs Chelsea W (FA WSL) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Goodison Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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