Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultFolgore to win ✓64% · @1.36
Double chanceFolgore or draw ✓84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗7% · fair 13.39
Libertas vs Folgore: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 March the Campionato brings Libertas against Folgore at Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Libertas are 9th, lower half, on 9 points after 8 matches; Folgore are 1st (leading the league) with 22. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Libertas 0.9 xG, Folgore 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Libertas 16%, draw 21%, Folgore 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Folgore to win (64%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertas 0–1 Folgore. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Libertas16%fair 6.40 · @6.00
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.75
Folgore64%fair 1.57 · @1.36
2.85Expected goals
0.87Libertas xG
1.98Folgore xG
49%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Libertas 0.9 – 2.0 Folgore expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Folgore to win✓
64%
1.57
1.36
Double chance
Folgore or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Folgore (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Folgore -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Folgore to score first✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Folgore ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Folgore / FT Folgore✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
7%
13.39
–
Recent results
Libertas – last 2
DW
21 Feb
@ La Fiorita
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Faetano
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Folgore – last 2
WD
21 Feb
@ Pennarossa
3–2
W
15 Feb
vs Tre Fiori
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libertas and Folgore.
Our pick is Folgore to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Libertas vs Folgore?
On our numbers Libertas have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Folgore 64%.
How many goals will there be in Libertas vs Folgore?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertas vs Folgore?
Our predicted score is Libertas 0–1 Folgore, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Libertas vs Folgore?
Libertas vs Folgore (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
