Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗5% · fair 20.56
Tre Penne vs Folgore: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Tre Penne v Folgore in the Campionato, played at Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo. In the table, Tre Penne are 2nd, among the top four, on 20 points after 8 matches; Folgore are 1st (leading the league) with 22. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Tre Penne, last 4: WWWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Murata, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Folgore, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with San Giovanni, at home. The attack is flying at 2.4 goals per game.
Momentum favours Tre Penne, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Folgore.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tre Penne 1.6 xG, Folgore 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tre Penne 53%, draw 24%, Folgore 23%.
Lower-risk option: Tre Penne or draw (77%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tre Penne to win (53%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tre Penne 1–0 Folgore. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tre Penne53%fair 1.89 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.75
Folgore23%fair 4.39 · @3.80
2.65Expected goals
1.60Tre Penne xG
1.04Folgore xG
47%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Tre Penne 1.6 – 1.0 Folgore expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tre Penne to win✗
53%
1.89
1.70
Double chance
Tre Penne or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Draw no bet
Tre Penne (draw no bet)
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Folgore +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Tre Penne to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tre Penne / FT Tre Penne✗
30%
3.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
5%
20.56
–
Recent results
Tre Penne – last 4
WWWD
15 Mar
@ Murata
4–0
W
8 Mar
@ Domagnano
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Tre Fiori
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Cosmos
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Folgore – last 5
DDWWD
15 Mar
vs San Giovanni
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs La Fiorita
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Libertas
4–2
W
21 Feb
@ Pennarossa
3–2
W
15 Feb
vs Tre Fiori
2–2
D
2.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tre Penne and Folgore.
Our pick is Tre Penne to win with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Tre Penne vs Folgore?
On our numbers Tre Penne have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Folgore 23%.
How many goals will there be in Tre Penne vs Folgore?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tre Penne vs Folgore?
Our predicted score is Tre Penne 1–0 Folgore, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Tre Penne vs Folgore?
Tre Penne vs Folgore (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
