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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Libertas v Juvenes Dogana: numbers & prediction

Campionato · San-Marino · Campo sportivo di Borgo Maggiore
1–0
FT
Libertas 34%Draw 26%Juvenes Dogana 40% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.25
53%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.90Odds

Picks by market

ResultJuvenes Dogana to win ✗40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.45

Libertas vs Juvenes Dogana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 8 April the Campionato brings Libertas against Juvenes Dogana at Campo sportivo di Borgo Maggiore. Kick-off: 20:15 WAT. In the table, Libertas are 9th, lower half, on 9 points after 8 matches; Juvenes Dogana are 11th (lower half) with 7. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Libertas, last 4: WLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cosmos, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Juvenes Dogana, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with San Marino Academy, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Libertas, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.4 for Juvenes Dogana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Libertas 1.2 xG, Juvenes Dogana 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Libertas 34%, draw 26%, Juvenes Dogana 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.90). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertas 1–1 Juvenes Dogana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Libertas34%fair 2.96 · @3.10
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.40
Juvenes Dogana40%fair 2.50 · @2.00
2.47Expected goals
1.22Libertas xG
1.25Juvenes Dogana xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Libertas 1.2 – 1.3 Juvenes Dogana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuvenes Dogana to win ✗40%2.502.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.97–
Draw no betJuvenes Dogana (draw no bet) ✗54%1.85–
Asian handicapLibertas +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreJuvenes Dogana to score first ✗46%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juvenes Dogana / FT Juvenes Dogana ✗21%4.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%9.45–

Recent results

Libertas – last 4

WLDW
15 Marvs Cosmos1–0W
1 Marvs Folgore2–4L
21 Feb@ La Fiorita2–2D
15 Febvs Faetano2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Juvenes Dogana – last 5

DLLDL
22 Marvs San Marino Academy0–0D
18 Marvs La Fiorita1–2L
8 Mar@ Virtus0–2L
4 Mar@ La Fiorita0–0D
21 Feb@ Fiorentino1–2L
0.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Libertas and Juvenes Dogana.

Libertas vs Juvenes Dogana head-to-head page →

Campionato table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore8710+1622
2Tre Penne8620+1220
3Virtus8611+919
4Tre Fiori8521+1117
5Cosmos8512+1116
6La Fiorita8440+616
7Domagnano8314010
8Fiorentino8233+39
9Libertas8233-29
10San Giovanni8224-68
11Juvenes / Dogana8215-17
12Cailungo8134-26
13Pennarossa8125-145
14Murata8116-134
15San Marino Academy8044-134
16Faetano8035-173

More Campionato predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Libertas vs Juvenes Dogana?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.

Who will win Libertas vs Juvenes Dogana?

On our numbers Libertas have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Juvenes Dogana 40%.

How many goals will there be in Libertas vs Juvenes Dogana?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Libertas vs Juvenes Dogana?

Our predicted score is Libertas 1–1 Juvenes Dogana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Libertas vs Juvenes Dogana?

Libertas vs Juvenes Dogana (Campionato) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Campo sportivo di Borgo Maggiore.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.