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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Faetano v Tre Fiori: numbers & prediction

Campionato · San-Marino · Campo Faetano
0–1
FT
Faetano 8%Draw 15%Tre Fiori 77% Expected goals 0.62 – 2.29
56%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultTre Fiori to win ✓77% · @1.10
Double chanceTre Fiori or draw ✓92% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗11% · fair 9.22

Faetano vs Tre Fiori: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Faetano v Tre Fiori in the Campionato, played at Campo Faetano. In the table, Faetano are 16th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 8 matches; Tre Fiori are 4th (among the top four) with 17. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Faetano, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Domagnano, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Tre Fiori, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Murata, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Tre Fiori, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.0 for Faetano.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Faetano 0.6 xG, Tre Fiori 2.3 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 41% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Faetano 8%, draw 15%, Tre Fiori 77%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Faetano 0–3 Tre Fiori. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Faetano8%fair 12.75 · @21.00
Draw15%fair 6.82 · @8.00
Tre Fiori77%fair 1.29 · @1.10
2.91Expected goals
0.62Faetano xG
2.29Tre Fiori xG
41%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–214%
0–112%
0–311%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%

From our goals model: Faetano 0.6 – 2.3 Tre Fiori expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTre Fiori to win ✓77%1.291.10
Double chanceTre Fiori or draw ✓92%1.09–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓59%1.70–
Draw no betTre Fiori (draw no bet) ✓91%1.10–
Asian handicapTre Fiori -1 (Asian handicap)67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.771.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreTre Fiori to score first ✓74%1.35–
Half-time resultTre Fiori ahead at half-time ✗54%1.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tre Fiori / FT Tre Fiori ✗50%1.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗11%9.22–

Recent results

Faetano – last 3

LLL
7 Aprvs Domagnano0–1L
22 Febvs Virtus0–2L
15 Feb@ Libertas1–2L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Tre Fiori – last 6

WDWWDL
8 Apr@ Murata3–0W
22 Marvs La Fiorita0–0D
18 Marvs Virtus1–0W
8 Marvs Cailungo3–2W
4 Mar@ Virtus0–0D
22 Febvs Tre Penne0–2L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Faetano and Tre Fiori.

Faetano vs Tre Fiori head-to-head page →

Campionato table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore8710+1622
2Tre Penne8620+1220
3Virtus8611+919
4Tre Fiori8521+1117
5Cosmos8512+1116
6La Fiorita8440+616
7Domagnano8314010
8Fiorentino8233+39
9Libertas8233-29
10San Giovanni8224-68
11Juvenes / Dogana8215-17
12Cailungo8134-26
13Pennarossa8125-145
14Murata8116-134
15San Marino Academy8044-134
16Faetano8035-173

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Faetano vs Tre Fiori?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Faetano vs Tre Fiori?

On our numbers Faetano have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Tre Fiori 77%.

How many goals will there be in Faetano vs Tre Fiori?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Faetano vs Tre Fiori?

Our predicted score is Faetano 0–3 Tre Fiori, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Faetano vs Tre Fiori?

Faetano vs Tre Fiori (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Faetano.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.