Value bet: Metalul Buzău to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultASA Targu Mures to win ✓39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.74
ASA Targu Mures vs Metalul Buzău: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Saturday 28 February: ASA Targu Mures v Metalul Buzău in the Liga II, played at Stadionul Trans-Sil. In the table, ASA Targu Mures are 17th, lower half, on 11 points after 13 matches; Metalul Buzău are 7th (upper half) with 24. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ASA Targu Mures 1.3 xG, Metalul Buzău 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ASA Targu Mures 39%, draw 26%, Metalul Buzău 35%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Metalul Buzău to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: ASA Targu Mures 1–1 Metalul Buzău. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ASA Targu Mures39%fair 2.57 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.20
Metalul Buzău35%fair 2.85 · @3.25
2.68Expected goals
1.28ASA Targu Mures xG
1.40Metalul Buzău xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: ASA Targu Mures 1.3 – 1.4 Metalul Buzău expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ASA Targu Mures to win✓
39%
2.57
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.73
Draw no bet
ASA Targu Mures (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
ASA Targu Mures +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Metalul Buzău to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metalul Buzău / FT Metalul Buzău✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.74
–
Recent results
ASA Targu Mures – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ Bihor Oradea
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Metalul Buzău – last 1
L
21 Feb
vs FC Bacau
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ASA Targu Mures and Metalul Buzău.
What is the prediction for ASA Targu Mures vs Metalul Buzău?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win ASA Targu Mures vs Metalul Buzău?
On our numbers ASA Targu Mures have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Metalul Buzău 35%.
How many goals will there be in ASA Targu Mures vs Metalul Buzău?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ASA Targu Mures vs Metalul Buzău?
Our predicted score is ASA Targu Mures 1–1 Metalul Buzău, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is ASA Targu Mures vs Metalul Buzău?
ASA Targu Mures vs Metalul Buzău (Liga II) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Trans-Sil.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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