Paradiso v Lugano II Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultParadiso to win ✗59% · @1.91

Double chanceParadiso or draw ✓81% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.55

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.42

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.65

Paradiso vs Lugano II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lugano II travel to face Paradiso on Wednesday 15 April in the 1. Liga Promotion, with Campo Pian Scairolo the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Paradiso are 5th, upper half, on 25 points after 15 matches; Lugano II are 16th (in the drop zone) with 13. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Lugano II, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Zürich II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Paradiso 2.4 xG, Lugano II 1.2 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Paradiso 59%, draw 23%, Lugano II 19%.
Lower-risk option: Paradiso or draw (81%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Paradiso to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Paradiso or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paradiso 2–1 Lugano II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Paradiso59%fair 1.71 · @1.91

Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.30

Lugano II19%fair 5.37 · @3.40

3.63Expected goals

2.41Paradiso xG

1.22Lugano II xG

65%Both score

70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%

1–18%

2–08%

3–18%

1–06%

3–06%

From our goals model: Paradiso 2.4 – 1.2 Lugano II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Paradiso to win ✗	59%	1.71	1.91 ▲
Double chance	Paradiso or draw ✓	81%	1.23	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	65%	1.53	1.55
Draw no bet	Paradiso (draw no bet)	76%	1.32	–
Asian handicap	Paradiso -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	51%	1.97	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	70%	1.43	–
First team to score	Paradiso to score first ✗	65%	1.55	–
Half-time result	Paradiso ahead at half-time ✗	48%	2.08	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Paradiso / FT Paradiso ✗	42%	2.38	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.65	–

Paradiso – last 1

21 Feb

@ Luzern II

2–2

2.0Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Lugano II – last 3

DLW

8 Apr	vs Zürich II	0–0	D
2 Apr	@ Bulle	0–2	L
15 Mar	vs Brühl	4–2	W

1.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bulle	15	10	3	2	+14	33
2	FC Schaffhausen	14	10	2	2	+18	32
3	Biel-Bienne	15	9	4	2	+14	31
4	Cham	15	9	3	3	+11	30
5	Paradiso	15	7	4	4	+9	25
6	Grand-Saconnex	15	8	0	7	+3	24
7	Brühl	15	7	2	6	+1	23
8	YF Juventus	15	7	1	7	+2	22
9	Zürich II	15	6	3	6	+1	21
10	Breitenrain	15	6	3	6	0	21
11	Basel II	15	6	2	7	-2	20
12	Amical Saint-Prex	15	6	1	8	-13	19
13	Young Boys II	15	5	3	7	-6	18
14	Kreuzlingen	15	4	3	8	-6	15
15	Luzern II	15	4	2	9	-8	14
16	Lugano II	15	4	1	10	-17	13
17	Bavois	14	3	2	9	-4	11
18	Bellinzona	15	2	3	10	-17	9

Team

Pts

+14

+18

+14

+11

-2

-13

-6

-6

-8

-17

-4

-17

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paradiso vs Lugano II?

Our pick is Paradiso or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Paradiso vs Lugano II?

On our numbers Paradiso have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lugano II 19%.

How many goals will there be in Paradiso vs Lugano II?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Paradiso vs Lugano II?

Our predicted score is Paradiso 2–1 Lugano II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Paradiso vs Lugano II?

Paradiso vs Lugano II (1. Liga Promotion) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Pian Scairolo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Paradiso v Lugano II: numbers & prediction