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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Loznica v Grafičar: numbers & prediction

Prva Liga · Serbia · Stadion Lagator
Sat 28 Feb 2026
Loznica 40%Draw 27%Grafičar 33% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.14
60%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.50

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultLoznica to win40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012% · fair 8.69

Loznica vs Grafičar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Grafičar travel to face Loznica on Saturday 28 February in the Prva Liga, with Stadion Lagator the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Loznica are 11th, lower half, on 20 points after 17 matches; Grafičar are 14th (in the drop zone) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Loznica 1.2 xG, Grafičar 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Loznica 40%, draw 27%, Grafičar 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Loznica 1–1 Grafičar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Loznica40%fair 2.47 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.00
Grafičar33%fair 3.03 · @3.00
2.38Expected goals
1.24Loznica xG
1.14Grafičar xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Loznica 1.2 – 1.1 Grafičar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLoznica to win40%2.472.25
Double chanceEither team to win73%1.361.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score52%1.91–
Draw no betLoznica (draw no bet)55%1.82–
Asian handicapGrafičar +0.5 (Asian handicap)61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals60%1.671.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals91%1.10–
First team to scoreLoznica to score first47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Loznica / FT Loznica22%4.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012%8.69–

Recent results

Loznica – last 2

DW
20 Feb@ Stepojevac Vaga0–0D
13 Febvs FK Trayal1–0W
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Grafičar – last 2

WD
23 Febvs FAP2–1W
14 Feb@ Dinamo Jug1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Loznica and Grafičar.

Loznica vs Grafičar head-to-head page →

Prva Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Borac Cacak171133+1036
2Javor17971+2034
3TSC Backa Topola17971+1834
4OFK Vršac17935+530
5Dubočica17755026
6Semendrija 192417746025
7Napredak17746-125
8FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV17656-323
9Naftagas17575+622
10FK Vozdovac17557020
11Loznica17485-420
12Metalac GM17548-619
13Jedinstvo Ub17539-618
14Grafičar175210-517
15Teleoptik17359-914
16OFK Bor 1919172213-258

More Prva Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Loznica vs Grafičar?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Loznica vs Grafičar?

On our numbers Loznica have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Grafičar 33%.

How many goals will there be in Loznica vs Grafičar?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Loznica vs Grafičar?

Our predicted score is Loznica 1–1 Grafičar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Loznica vs Grafičar?

Loznica vs Grafičar (Prva Liga) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lagator.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.