Value bet: Mantova to win @ 2.54 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMantova to win ✗44% · @2.54
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Mantova vs Carrarese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:15 WAT, Sunday 1 March: Mantova v Carrarese in the Serie B, played at Stadio Danilo Martelli. In the table, Mantova are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Carrarese are 17th (lower half) with 10.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mantova 1.5 xG, Carrarese 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mantova 44%, draw 27%, Carrarese 29%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Mantova to win @2.54 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mantova 1–1 Carrarese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mantova44%fair 2.25 · @2.54
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.10
Carrarese29%fair 3.50 · @2.82
2.47Expected goals
1.47Mantova xG
1.00Carrarese xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Mantova 1.5 – 1.0 Carrarese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mantova to win✗
44%
2.25
2.54 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Draw no bet
Mantova (draw no bet)
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Carrarese +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.10
First team to score
Mantova to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mantova / FT Mantova✗
28%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Mantova – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Sampdoria
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Carrarese
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mantova and Carrarese.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Mantova vs Carrarese?
On our numbers Mantova have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Carrarese 29%.
How many goals will there be in Mantova vs Carrarese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mantova vs Carrarese?
Our predicted score is Mantova 1–1 Carrarese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mantova vs Carrarese?
Mantova vs Carrarese (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Danilo Martelli.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Frosinone2
Pescara2