Value bet: Avellino to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVirtus Entella to win ✗37% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.06
Virtus Entella vs Avellino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Virtus Entella v Avellino in the Serie B, played at Stadio Enrico Sannazzari. In the table, Virtus Entella are 16th, lower half, on 10 points after 11 matches; Avellino are 5th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Virtus Entella, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Modena, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Avellino, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Venezia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Virtus Entella, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Avellino.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Virtus Entella 1.2 xG, Avellino 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Virtus Entella 37%, draw 28%, Avellino 35%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Avellino to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.88, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Virtus Entella 1–1 Avellino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Virtus Entella37%fair 2.71 · @2.25
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @2.90
Avellino35%fair 2.85 · @3.25
2.46Expected goals
1.19Virtus Entella xG
1.27Avellino xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Virtus Entella 1.2 – 1.3 Avellino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Virtus Entella to win✗
37%
2.71
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Virtus Entella (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Virtus Entella +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Avellino to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avellino / FT Avellino✓
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.06
–
Recent results
Virtus Entella – last 3
WLL
3 Mar
vs Modena
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ Monza
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Catanzaro
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Avellino – last 3
LDL
3 Mar
@ Venezia
0–4
L
22 Feb
@ Reggiana
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Pescara
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Virtus Entella and Avellino.
What is the prediction for Virtus Entella vs Avellino?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Avellino?
On our numbers Virtus Entella have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Avellino 35%.
How many goals will there be in Virtus Entella vs Avellino?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Virtus Entella vs Avellino?
Our predicted score is Virtus Entella 1–1 Avellino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Virtus Entella vs Avellino?
Virtus Entella vs Avellino (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Enrico Sannazzari.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pescara0