Lyon W 81%Draw 11%Montpellier W 8%Expected goals 3.50 – 0.90
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultLyon W to win ✓81% · @1.16
Double chanceLyon W or draw ✓92% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✓8% · fair 12.66
Lyon W vs Montpellier W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 6 May the Feminine Division 1 brings Lyon W against Montpellier W at Terrain d'honneur Gérard Houllier. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Lyon W are 1st, leading the league, on 24 points after 8 matches; Montpellier W are 9th (lower half) with 6. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lyon W, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Nantes W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Montpellier W, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Paris FC W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lyon W, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Montpellier W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lyon W 3.5 xG, Montpellier W 0.9 xG – a total near 4.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 78% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lyon W 81%, draw 11%, Montpellier W 8%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lyon W 3–0 Montpellier W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lyon W81%fair 1.24 · @1.16
Draw11%fair 9.26 · @6.60
Montpellier W8%fair 12.15 · @9.80
4.40Expected goals
3.50Lyon W xG
0.90Montpellier W xG
62%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–09%
3–18%
4–08%
2–08%
4–17%
2–17%
From our goals model: Lyon W 3.5 – 0.9 Montpellier W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lyon W
Montpellier W
Attack vs Feminine Division 1 average
+160%
-20%
Goals conceded vs average
-35%
+4%
Our expected goals here
4.50
0.82
Our own ratings from every Feminine Division 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyon W to win✓
81%
1.24
1.16
Double chance
Lyon W or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Draw no bet
Lyon W (draw no bet)✓
91%
1.10
–
Asian handicap
Lyon W -2 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.56
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.54
First team to score
Lyon W to score first✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Lyon W ahead at half-time✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyon W / FT Lyon W✓
63%
1.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✓
8%
12.66
–
Recent results
Lyon W – last 5
DWWLW
29 Apr
@ Nantes W
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Dijon W
4–0
W
2 Apr
vs VfL Wolfsburg W
1–0
W
24 Mar
@ VfL Wolfsburg W
0–1
L
10 Mar
vs Le Havre W
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Montpellier W – last 3
LLD
22 Apr
vs Paris FC W
0–2
L
11 Mar
@ Lens W
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Nantes W
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lyon W and Montpellier W.
What is the prediction for Lyon W vs Montpellier W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lyon W vs Montpellier W?
On our numbers Lyon W have a 81% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Montpellier W 8%.
How many goals will there be in Lyon W vs Montpellier W?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lyon W vs Montpellier W?
Our predicted score is Lyon W 3–0 Montpellier W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Lyon W vs Montpellier W?
Lyon W vs Montpellier W (Feminine Division 1) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Terrain d'honneur Gérard Houllier.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
