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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Home United v Tanjong Pagar: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Singapore · Jalan Besar Stadium
Home United 85%Draw 11%Tanjong Pagar 4% Expected goals 3.68 – 0.71
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultHome United to win ✓85% · @1.03
Double chanceHome United or draw ✓96% · fair 1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 13.69

Home United vs Tanjong Pagar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tanjong Pagar travel to face Home United on Sunday 15 February in the Premier League, with Jalan Besar Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Home United are 2nd, among the top four, on 13 points after 5 matches; Tanjong Pagar are 6th (in the drop zone) with 7.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Home United 3.7 xG, Tanjong Pagar 0.7 xG – a total near 4.4. That is an open game on paper: 81% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Home United 85%, draw 11%, Tanjong Pagar 4%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Home United 4–0 Tanjong Pagar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Home United85%fair 1.17 · @1.03
Draw11%fair 9.47 · @10.75
Tanjong Pagar4%fair 25.22 · @26.00
4.38Expected goals
3.68Home United xG
0.71Tanjong Pagar xG
54%Both score
81%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–010%
4–010%
2–08%
3–17%
5–07%
4–17%

From our goals model: Home United 3.7 – 0.7 Tanjong Pagar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHome United to win ✓85%1.171.03
Double chanceHome United or draw ✓96%1.04–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.862.05 ▲
Draw no betHome United (draw no bet) ✓96%1.05–
Asian handicapHome United -2 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓66%1.511.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗52%1.921.91
First team to scoreHome United to score first ✓83%1.21–
Half-time resultHome United ahead at half-time ✓70%1.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Home United / FT Home United ✓68%1.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7%13.69–

Recent results

Home United

No recent results on record.

Tanjong Pagar

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Home United and Tanjong Pagar.

Home United vs Tanjong Pagar head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Geylang International6420+1014
2Home United5410+1713
3Tampines Rovers5410+1013
4Albirex Niigata S6213+27
5Balestier Khalsa6213-57
6Tanjong Pagar6213-97
7Young Lions6105-153
8Hougang United6015-101

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Home United vs Tanjong Pagar?

Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Home United vs Tanjong Pagar?

On our numbers Home United have a 85% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Tanjong Pagar 4%.

How many goals will there be in Home United vs Tanjong Pagar?

We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Home United vs Tanjong Pagar?

Our predicted score is Home United 4–0 Tanjong Pagar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.

When is Home United vs Tanjong Pagar?

Home United vs Tanjong Pagar (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Jalan Besar Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.