Home United 63%Draw 20%Albirex Niigata S 17%Expected goals 2.33 – 0.96
63%
Betarazi pick
Home United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.68 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.68Odds
Picks by market
ResultHome United to win ✗63% · @1.68
Double chanceHome United or draw ✗83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Home United vs Albirex Niigata S: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Home United welcome Albirex Niigata S to Jalan Besar Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 10 May (12:30 WAT). In the table, Home United are 2nd, among the top four, on 13 points after 5 matches; Albirex Niigata S are 4th (among the top four) with 7.
Current form
Home United, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tampines Rovers, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Albirex Niigata S, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Young Lions, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Home United, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Albirex Niigata S.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended Albirex Niigata S 3–3 Home United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Home United 2.3 xG, Albirex Niigata S 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Home United 63%, draw 20%, Albirex Niigata S 17%.
Lower-risk option: Home United or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Home United to win (63%, odds 1.68 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Home United 2–0 Albirex Niigata S. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Home United63%fair 1.60 · @1.68
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.90
Albirex Niigata S17%fair 5.73 · @4.10
3.30Expected goals
2.33Home United xG
0.96Albirex Niigata S xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: Home United 2.3 – 1.0 Albirex Niigata S expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Home United vs Albirex Niigata S?
Our pick is Home United to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.
Who will win Home United vs Albirex Niigata S?
On our numbers Home United have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Albirex Niigata S 17%.
How many goals will there be in Home United vs Albirex Niigata S?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Home United vs Albirex Niigata S?
Our predicted score is Home United 2–0 Albirex Niigata S, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Home United vs Albirex Niigata S?
Home United vs Albirex Niigata S (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Jalan Besar Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
