Aubagne vs Stade Briochin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Friday 1 May: Aubagne v Stade Briochin in the National 1, played at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny.
Current form
Aubagne, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Rouen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Stade Briochin, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Concarneau, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aubagne 1.2 xG, Stade Briochin 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aubagne 37%, draw 26%, Stade Briochin 37%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aubagne 1–1 Stade Briochin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aubagne37%fair 2.74 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.35
Stade Briochin37%fair 2.68 · @2.75
2.51Expected goals
1.17Aubagne xG
1.33Stade Briochin xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Aubagne 1.2 – 1.3 Stade Briochin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Briochin to win✓
37%
2.68
2.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.65
Draw no bet
Stade Briochin (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Aubagne +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Stade Briochin to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Briochin / FT Stade Briochin✓
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.76
–
Recent results
Aubagne – last 6
LLWDDL
24 Apr
@ Rouen
1–3
L
17 Apr
vs Orleans
0–2
L
10 Apr
@ Le Puy Foot
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Chateauroux
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Valenciennes
0–0
D
20 Mar
vs Sochaux
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Stade Briochin – last 6
LDDLWL
24 Apr
vs Concarneau
1–2
L
10 Apr
vs Villefranche
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Caen
1–1
D
27 Mar
vs Gobelins
0–1
L
17 Mar
vs Chateauroux
2–0
W
13 Mar
@ Rouen
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aubagne and Stade Briochin.
What is the prediction for Aubagne vs Stade Briochin?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Aubagne vs Stade Briochin?
On our numbers Aubagne have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Stade Briochin 37%.
How many goals will there be in Aubagne vs Stade Briochin?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aubagne vs Stade Briochin?
Our predicted score is Aubagne 1–1 Stade Briochin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Aubagne vs Stade Briochin?
Aubagne vs Stade Briochin (National 1) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
