Wingate & Finchley v Burgess Hill Town Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultWingate & Finchley to win ✗44% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.53

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.40

Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 3 March the Non League Premier Isthmian brings Wingate & Finchley against Burgess Hill Town at The Maurice Rebak Stadium. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Wingate & Finchley are 11th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Burgess Hill Town are 12th (lower half) with 22. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Wingate & Finchley, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Canvey Island, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Burgess Hill Town 3–1 Wingate & Finchley.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wingate & Finchley 1.9 xG, Burgess Hill Town 1.6 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Wingate & Finchley 44%, draw 22%, Burgess Hill Town 34%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wingate & Finchley 1–1 Burgess Hill Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wingate & Finchley44%fair 2.26 · @2.05

Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.70

Burgess Hill Town34%fair 2.97 · @2.80

3.48Expected goals

1.90Wingate & Finchley xG

1.58Burgess Hill Town xG

66%Both score

68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%

2–19%

1–27%

2–27%

1–06%

3–16%

From our goals model: Wingate & Finchley 1.9 – 1.6 Burgess Hill Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Wingate & Finchley to win ✗	44%	2.26	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.28	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	66%	1.51	1.53
Draw no bet	Wingate & Finchley (draw no bet) ✗	57%	1.76	–
Asian handicap	Burgess Hill Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	68%	1.46	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	68%	1.48	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	54%	1.85	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	73%	1.37	–
First team to score	Wingate & Finchley to score first ✗	53%	1.89	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	36%	2.77	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Wingate & Finchley / FT Wingate & Finchley ✗	28%	3.59	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.40	–

Wingate & Finchley – last 3

WLW

24 Feb	vs Canvey Island	2–0	W
21 Feb	@ Burgess Hill Town	1–3	L
17 Feb	vs Potters Bar Town	2–1	W

1.7Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Burgess Hill Town – last 1

21 Feb

vs Wingate & Finchley

3–1

3.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Enfield Town	16	12	1	3	+27	37
2	Welling United	17	12	1	4	+18	37
3	Eastbourne Borough	16	11	1	4	+13	34
4	Dartford	16	10	0	6	+5	30
5	Lewes	17	9	3	5	+4	30
6	Ramsgate	15	8	1	6	+14	25
7	Carshalton Athletic	17	8	1	8	-7	25
8	Leatherhead	14	7	3	4	+7	24
9	St Albans City	13	7	2	4	+6	23
10	Chatham Town	16	7	1	8	+3	22
11	Wingate & Finchley	15	6	4	5	-1	22
12	Burgess Hill Town	16	5	7	4	-2	22
13	Whyteleafe	16	6	3	7	+1	21
14	Dulwich Hamlet	17	6	3	8	-4	21
15	Aveley	16	6	2	8	-3	20
16	Maldon & Tiptree	18	6	2	10	-14	20
17	Cray Wanderers	11	5	3	3	+10	18
18	Cheshunt	16	4	6	6	-8	18
19	Brentwood Town	15	5	1	9	-3	16
20	Three Bridges	16	2	4	10	-17	10
21	Whitehawk	17	1	5	11	-23	8
22	Stanway Rovers	16	2	2	12	-26	8

Team

Pts

+27

+18

+13

+14

-7

-1

-2

-4

-3

-14

+10

-8

-3

-17

-23

-26

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town?

On our numbers Wingate & Finchley have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Burgess Hill Town 34%.

How many goals will there be in Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town?

Our predicted score is Wingate & Finchley 1–1 Burgess Hill Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town?

Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town (Non League Premier Isthmian) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Maurice Rebak Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Wingate & Finchley v Burgess Hill Town: numbers & prediction