Burgess Hill Town v Wingate & Finchley Prediction & Expected Goals (21 Feb) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBurgess Hill Town to win ✓43% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.44

Burgess Hill Town vs Wingate & Finchley: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Burgess Hill Town welcome Wingate & Finchley to Home Call Carpets Community Stadium for a Non League Premier Isthmian fixture on Saturday 21 February (16:00 WAT). In the table, Burgess Hill Town are 12th, lower half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Wingate & Finchley are 11th (upper half) with 22. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Burgess Hill Town 1.8 xG, Wingate & Finchley 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 55%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Burgess Hill Town 43%, draw 22%, Wingate & Finchley 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burgess Hill Town 2–1 Wingate & Finchley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Burgess Hill Town43%fair 2.33 · @2.20

Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.70

Wingate & Finchley35%fair 2.86 · @2.55

3.33Expected goals

1.77Burgess Hill Town xG

1.56Wingate & Finchley xG

55%Both score

61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

2–19%

1–28%

2–27%

1–06%

2–06%

From our goals model: Burgess Hill Town 1.8 – 1.6 Wingate & Finchley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Burgess Hill Town to win ✓	43%	2.33	2.20
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.28	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	55%	1.81	–
Draw no bet	Burgess Hill Town (draw no bet) ✓	55%	1.81	–
Asian handicap	Wingate & Finchley +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	84%	1.18	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	61%	1.64	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	57%	1.74	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	–
First team to score	Burgess Hill Town to score first	51%	1.95	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	37%	2.69	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Burgess Hill Town / FT Burgess Hill Town ✓	26%	3.85	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.44	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Burgess Hill Town to win ✓

43%

2.33

2.20

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

78%

1.28

1.22

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

55%

1.81

–

Draw no bet

Burgess Hill Town (draw no bet) ✓

55%

1.81

–

Asian handicap

Wingate & Finchley +1 (Asian handicap) ✗

71%

1.40

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

84%

1.18

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✓

61%

1.64

1.65

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✗

57%

1.74

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

76%

1.32

–

First team to score

Burgess Hill Town to score first

51%

1.95

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

37%

2.69

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Burgess Hill Town / FT Burgess Hill Town ✓

26%

3.85

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✗

11.44

–

Recent results

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Burgess Hill Town and Wingate & Finchley.

Non League Premier Isthmian table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Enfield Town	16	12	1	3	+27	37
2	Welling United	17	12	1	4	+18	37
3	Eastbourne Borough	16	11	1	4	+13	34
4	Dartford	16	10	0	6	+5	30
5	Lewes	17	9	3	5	+4	30
6	Ramsgate	15	8	1	6	+14	25
7	Carshalton Athletic	17	8	1	8	-7	25
8	Leatherhead	14	7	3	4	+7	24
9	St Albans City	13	7	2	4	+6	23
10	Chatham Town	16	7	1	8	+3	22
11	Wingate & Finchley	15	6	4	5	-1	22
12	Burgess Hill Town	16	5	7	4	-2	22
13	Whyteleafe	16	6	3	7	+1	21
14	Dulwich Hamlet	17	6	3	8	-4	21
15	Aveley	16	6	2	8	-3	20
16	Maldon & Tiptree	18	6	2	10	-14	20
17	Cray Wanderers	11	5	3	3	+10	18
18	Cheshunt	16	4	6	6	-8	18
19	Brentwood Town	15	5	1	9	-3	16
20	Three Bridges	16	2	4	10	-17	10
21	Whitehawk	17	1	5	11	-23	8
22	Stanway Rovers	16	2	2	12	-26	8

Team

Pts

+27

+18

+13

+14

-7

-1

-2

-4

-3

-14

+10

-8

-3

-17

-23

-26

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Burgess Hill Town vs Wingate & Finchley?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Burgess Hill Town vs Wingate & Finchley?

On our numbers Burgess Hill Town have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wingate & Finchley 35%.

How many goals will there be in Burgess Hill Town vs Wingate & Finchley?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Burgess Hill Town vs Wingate & Finchley?

Our predicted score is Burgess Hill Town 2–1 Wingate & Finchley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Burgess Hill Town vs Wingate & Finchley?

Burgess Hill Town vs Wingate & Finchley (Non League Premier Isthmian) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Home Call Carpets Community Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Burgess Hill Town v Wingate & Finchley: numbers & prediction