Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · fair 1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012% · fair 8.65
Toulon vs Chasselay MDA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chasselay MDA travel to face Toulon on Saturday 21 February in the National 2 Group C, with Stade de Bon-Rencontre the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Toulon are 7th, upper half, on 13 points after 9 matches; Chasselay MDA are 11th (lower half) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Toulon 1.5 xG, Chasselay MDA 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Toulon 43%, draw 26%, Chasselay MDA 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.90). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toulon 1–1 Chasselay MDA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Toulon43%fair 2.30 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.40
Chasselay MDA31%fair 3.28 · @2.70
2.53Expected goals
1.45Toulon xG
1.08Chasselay MDA xG
48%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Toulon 1.5 – 1.1 Chasselay MDA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Toulon
Chasselay MDA
Attack vs National 2 Group C average
-17%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
-18%
+0%
Our expected goals here
1.28
0.84
Our own ratings from every National 2 Group C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toulon to win
43%
2.30
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Toulon (draw no bet)
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Chasselay MDA +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.93
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Toulon to score first
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toulon / FT Toulon
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
12%
8.65
–
Recent results
Toulon
No recent results on record.
Chasselay MDA
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toulon and Chasselay MDA.
What is the prediction for Toulon vs Chasselay MDA?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Toulon vs Chasselay MDA?
On our numbers Toulon have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Chasselay MDA 31%.
How many goals will there be in Toulon vs Chasselay MDA?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toulon vs Chasselay MDA?
Our predicted score is Toulon 1–1 Chasselay MDA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Toulon vs Chasselay MDA?
Toulon vs Chasselay MDA (National 2 Group C) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Bon-Rencontre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
