Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFréjus St-Raphaël to win ✗54% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗5% · fair 19.43
Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Limonest: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Friday 10 April: Fréjus St-Raphaël v Limonest in the National 2 Group C, played at Stade Louis Hon. In the table, Fréjus St-Raphaël are 8th, upper half, on 13 points after 8 matches; Limonest are 12th (lower half) with 8.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fréjus St-Raphaël 1.9 xG, Limonest 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 51% for three or more goals, 50% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fréjus St-Raphaël 54%, draw 23%, Limonest 23%.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fréjus St-Raphaël to win (54%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fréjus St-Raphaël 2–1 Limonest. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fréjus St-Raphaël54%fair 1.85 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.30
Limonest23%fair 4.30 · @3.60
3.05Expected goals
1.87Fréjus St-Raphaël xG
1.18Limonest xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Fréjus St-Raphaël 1.9 – 1.2 Limonest expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Fréjus St-Raphaël
Limonest
Attack vs National 2 Group C average
+24%
+14%
Goals conceded vs average
+28%
+16%
Our expected goals here
2.22
1.46
Our own ratings from every National 2 Group C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fréjus St-Raphaël to win✗
54%
1.85
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Fréjus St-Raphaël (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Limonest +1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
2.15 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Fréjus St-Raphaël to score first
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Fréjus St-Raphaël ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fréjus St-Raphaël / FT Fréjus St-Raphaël✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
5%
19.43
–
Recent results
Fréjus St-Raphaël – last 1
L
3 Apr
@ Istres
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Limonest – last 2
LD
6 Mar
@ Cannes
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Hyères
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fréjus St-Raphaël and Limonest.
What is the prediction for Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Limonest?
Our pick is Fréjus St-Raphaël to win with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Limonest?
On our numbers Fréjus St-Raphaël have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Limonest 23%.
How many goals will there be in Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Limonest?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Limonest?
Our predicted score is Fréjus St-Raphaël 2–1 Limonest, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Limonest?
Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Limonest (National 2 Group C) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Louis Hon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
