Value bet: Avranches to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAvranches to win ✗37% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.33
Avranches vs La Roche VF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 13 March the National 2 Group A brings Avranches against La Roche VF at Stade Rene Fenouillere. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Avranches 1.4 xG, La Roche VF 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Avranches 37%, draw 26%, La Roche VF 37%.
Price worth noting: Avranches to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avranches 1–1 La Roche VF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Avranches37%fair 2.70 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.25
La Roche VF37%fair 2.71 · @2.10
2.59Expected goals
1.42Avranches xG
1.16La Roche VF xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Avranches 1.4 – 1.2 La Roche VF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avranches to win✗
37%
2.70
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Avranches (draw no bet)✗
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
La Roche VF +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Avranches to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avranches / FT Avranches✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.33
–
Recent results
Avranches – last 1
D
6 Mar
@ Poitiers
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
La Roche VF – last 1
D
6 Mar
vs Les Herbiers
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avranches and La Roche VF.
What is the prediction for Avranches vs La Roche VF?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Avranches vs La Roche VF?
On our numbers Avranches have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and La Roche VF 37%.
How many goals will there be in Avranches vs La Roche VF?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avranches vs La Roche VF?
Our predicted score is Avranches 1–1 La Roche VF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Avranches vs La Roche VF?
Avranches vs La Roche VF (National 2 Group A) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Rene Fenouillere.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Les Herbiers3
Chauray1