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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alvechurch v Real Bedford: numbers & prediction

Non League Premier Southern Central · England · Lye Meadow
3–4
FT
Alvechurch 36%Draw 24%Real Bedford 40% Expected goals 1.76 – 1.60
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.67Odds
1

Value bet: Alvechurch to win @ 3.30 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultReal Bedford to win ✓40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.77

Alvechurch vs Real Bedford: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real Bedford travel to face Alvechurch on Tuesday 24 February in the Non League Premier Southern Central, with Lye Meadow the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Alvechurch are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 15 matches; Real Bedford are 1st (leading the league) with 41. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alvechurch 1.8 xG, Real Bedford 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alvechurch 36%, draw 24%, Real Bedford 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Alvechurch to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alvechurch 1–1 Real Bedford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alvechurch36%fair 2.75 · @3.30
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.10
Real Bedford40%fair 2.51 · @2.00
3.36Expected goals
1.76Alvechurch xG
1.60Real Bedford xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: Alvechurch 1.8 – 1.6 Real Bedford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Bedford to win ✓40%2.512.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.551.67 ▲
Draw no betReal Bedford (draw no bet) ✓52%1.91–
Asian handicapReal Bedford +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.76–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
First team to scoreAlvechurch to score first51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.70–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alvechurch / FT Alvechurch ✗25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.77–

Recent results

Alvechurch – last 2

LW
21 Febvs Redditch United0–1L
17 Feb@ Bromsgrove Sporting4–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Real Bedford – last 2

LW
21 Feb@ Stourbridge1–2L
17 Feb@ Bishop's Stortford5–0W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alvechurch and Real Bedford.

Alvechurch vs Real Bedford head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Southern Central table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Bedford181323+2441
2Bromsgrove Sporting161141+1637
3Bury Town181134+536
4Kettering Town17944+1231
5Peterborough Sports17863+730
6Alvechurch15852+1529
7Anstey Nomads16853+929
8Needham Market16844+1228
9Rushall Olympic18918+428
10Halesowen Town15735024
11Stourbridge16646-222
12Stratford Town17575-422
13Racing Club Warwick17557020
14Redditch United15465018
15Worcester City14446-116
16Hitchin Town16448-416
17Leiston15438-715
18Bishop's Stortford174211-1114
19Banbury United17359-1214
20Leamington173410-913
21Leighton Town151311-196
22Stamford161213-355

More Non League Premier Southern Central predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alvechurch vs Real Bedford?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Alvechurch vs Real Bedford?

On our numbers Alvechurch have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Bedford 40%.

How many goals will there be in Alvechurch vs Real Bedford?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alvechurch vs Real Bedford?

Our predicted score is Alvechurch 1–1 Real Bedford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Alvechurch vs Real Bedford?

Alvechurch vs Real Bedford (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Lye Meadow.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.