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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alvechurch v Stourbridge: numbers & prediction

Non League Premier Southern Central · England · Lye Meadow
1–2
FT
Alvechurch 49%Draw 23%Stourbridge 28% Expected goals 1.74 – 1.10
54%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlvechurch to win ✗49% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27

Alvechurch vs Stourbridge: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Tuesday 3 March: Alvechurch v Stourbridge in the Non League Premier Southern Central, played at Lye Meadow. In the table, Alvechurch are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 15 matches; Stourbridge are 11th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Alvechurch, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Real Bedford, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alvechurch 1.7 xG, Stourbridge 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alvechurch 49%, draw 23%, Stourbridge 28%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alvechurch 2–1 Stourbridge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alvechurch49%fair 2.03 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.50
Stourbridge28%fair 3.61 · @3.00
2.84Expected goals
1.74Alvechurch xG
1.10Stourbridge xG
51%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Alvechurch 1.7 – 1.1 Stourbridge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlvechurch to win ✗49%2.032.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.96–
Draw no betAlvechurch (draw no bet) ✗64%1.56–
Asian handicapStourbridge +1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreAlvechurch to score first58%1.73–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alvechurch / FT Alvechurch ✗32%3.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.27–

Recent results

Alvechurch – last 3

LLW
24 Febvs Real Bedford3–4L
21 Febvs Redditch United0–1L
17 Feb@ Bromsgrove Sporting4–1W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Stourbridge – last 1

W
21 Febvs Real Bedford2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alvechurch and Stourbridge.

Alvechurch vs Stourbridge head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Southern Central table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Bedford181323+2441
2Bromsgrove Sporting161141+1637
3Bury Town181134+536
4Kettering Town17944+1231
5Peterborough Sports17863+730
6Alvechurch15852+1529
7Anstey Nomads16853+929
8Needham Market16844+1228
9Rushall Olympic18918+428
10Halesowen Town15735024
11Stourbridge16646-222
12Stratford Town17575-422
13Racing Club Warwick17557020
14Redditch United15465018
15Worcester City14446-116
16Hitchin Town16448-416
17Leiston15438-715
18Bishop's Stortford174211-1114
19Banbury United17359-1214
20Leamington173410-913
21Leighton Town151311-196
22Stamford161213-355

More Non League Premier Southern Central predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alvechurch vs Stourbridge?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Alvechurch vs Stourbridge?

On our numbers Alvechurch have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stourbridge 28%.

How many goals will there be in Alvechurch vs Stourbridge?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alvechurch vs Stourbridge?

Our predicted score is Alvechurch 2–1 Stourbridge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Alvechurch vs Stourbridge?

Alvechurch vs Stourbridge (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Lye Meadow.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.