Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Alvechurch to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlvechurch to win ✗37% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.35
Stourbridge vs Alvechurch: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Monday 6 April: Stourbridge v Alvechurch in the Non League Premier Southern Central, played at War Memorial Athletic Ground. In the table, Stourbridge are 11th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Alvechurch are 6th (upper half) with 29.
Current form
Stourbridge, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Spalding United, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Alvechurch, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Barwell, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Alvechurch 1–2 Stourbridge.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stourbridge 1.3 xG, Alvechurch 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stourbridge 36%, draw 27%, Alvechurch 37%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Alvechurch to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stourbridge 1–1 Alvechurch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stourbridge36%fair 2.77 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @2.90
Alvechurch37%fair 2.69 · @2.90
2.80Expected goals
1.31Stourbridge xG
1.48Alvechurch xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Stourbridge 1.3 – 1.5 Alvechurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Stourbridge vs Alvechurch?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Stourbridge vs Alvechurch?
On our numbers Stourbridge have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Alvechurch 37%.
How many goals will there be in Stourbridge vs Alvechurch?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stourbridge vs Alvechurch?
Our predicted score is Stourbridge 1–1 Alvechurch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Stourbridge vs Alvechurch?
Stourbridge vs Alvechurch (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at War Memorial Athletic Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Royston Town0
St Ives Town2
Harborough Town5
AFC Sudbury1
Barwell0
Spalding United2
Quorn0